Irrational Exuberance

Irrational Exuberance
Author: Robert J. Shiller
Publsiher: Unknown
Total Pages: 358
Release: 2015
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0691166269

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The author argues that investor euphoria and discouragement can cause extreme fluctuations in the stock, bond, and housing markets and presents advice for investors on protecting themselves from future bubbles.

Irrational Exuberance

Irrational Exuberance
Author: Robert J. Shiller
Publsiher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 392
Release: 2016-08-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780691173122

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In this revised, updated, and expanded edition of his New York Times bestseller, Nobel Prize–winning economist Robert Shiller, who warned of both the tech and housing bubbles, cautions that signs of irrational exuberance among investors have only increased since the 2008–9 financial crisis. With high stock and bond prices and the rising cost of housing, the post-subprime boom may well turn out to be another illustration of Shiller's influential argument that psychologically driven volatility is an inherent characteristic of all asset markets. In other words, Irrational Exuberance is as relevant as ever. Previous editions covered the stock and housing markets—and famously predicted their crashes. This edition expands its coverage to include the bond market, so that the book now addresses all of the major investment markets. It also includes updated data throughout, as well as Shiller's 2013 Nobel Prize lecture, which places the book in broader context. In addition to diagnosing the causes of asset bubbles, Irrational Exuberance recommends urgent policy changes to lessen their likelihood and severity—and suggests ways that individuals can decrease their risk before the next bubble bursts. No one whose future depends on a retirement account, a house, or other investments can afford not to read this book.

Irrational Exuberance

Irrational Exuberance
Author: Robert J. Shiller
Publsiher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 336
Release: 2009-02-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1400824362

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This first edition of this book was a broad study, drawing on a wide range of published research and historical evidence, of the enormous stock market boom that started around 1982 and picked up incredible speed after 1995. Although it took as its specific starting point this ongoing boom, it placed it in the context of stock market booms generally, and it also made concrete suggestions regarding policy changes that should be initiated in response to this and other such booms. The book argued that the boom represents a speculative bubble, not grounded in sensible economic fundamentals. Part one of the book considered structural factors behind the boom. A list of twelve precipitating factors that appear to be its ultimate causes was given. Amplification mechanisms, naturally-occurring Ponzi processes, that enlarge the effects of these precipitating factors, were described. Part Two discussed cultural factors, the effects of the news media, and of "new era" economic thinking. Part Three discussed psychological factors, psychological anchors for the market and herd behavior. Part Four discussed attempts to rationalize exuberance: efficient markets theory and theories that investors are learning. Part Five presented policy options and actions that should be taken. The second edition, 2005, added an analysis of the real estate bubble as similar to the stock market bubble that preceded it, and warned that "Significant further rises in these markets could lead, eventually, to even more significant declines. The bad outcome could be that eventual declines would result in a substantial increase in the rate of personal bankruptcies, which could lead to a secondary string of bankruptcies of financial institutions as well. Another long-run consequence could be a decline in consumer and business confidence, and another, possibly worldwide, recession." Thus, the second edition of this book was among the first to warn of the global financial crisis that began with the subprime mortgage debacle in 2007

Irrational Exuberance

Irrational Exuberance
Author: Robert J. Shiller
Publsiher: Broadway
Total Pages: 356
Release: 2001
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: STANFORD:36105111606435

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An expert on market volatility shows that the value of the stock market may be significantly inflated and urges cautious optimism, predicting that the market may show poorer performance in the future.

Summary

Summary
Author: Book Summary Publishing
Publsiher: Unknown
Total Pages: 28
Release: 2020-03-05
Genre: Electronic Book
ISBN: 9798621828967

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Summary of: Irrational Exuberance by Robert Shiller "Irrational exuberance" is a catchphrase made famous by former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan during the notorious dot.com bubble of the 1990s. After repeat disasters, like the housing bubble of the early 2000s and speculative bubbles that heralded the 2007-2009 world financial crisis, are investors any wiser? Worse, is it even possible to know when a market is in a bubble? Nobel Prize-winning economist and Yale University professor Robert Shiller puts this speculative behavior into perspective. On the one hand, price volatility-which leads to substantial profit-is a powerful motivator in a free market. On the other, instability-which exacts a terrible toll on unwary investors-is a risk that the Fed might well do to rein in. A survey of ways and means provides you with vital lessons learned...or perhaps sadly unlearned? But you'll get one surefire reward: you'll know how you too can lower your exposure to the agony of the next economic bubble. Why read this summary: Save time Understand the key concepts Notice: This is a IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE Book Summary. NOT THE ORIGINAL BOOK.

Value Investing For Dummies

Value Investing For Dummies
Author: Peter J. Sander,Janet Haley
Publsiher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 400
Release: 2011-02-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118052285

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Want to follow in Warren Buffett’s investing footprints? Value Investing For Dummies, 2nd Edition, explains what value investing is and how to incorporate it into your overall investment strategy. It presents a simple, straightforward way to apply proven investment principles, spot good deals, and produce extraordinary returns. This plain-English guide reveals the secrets of how to value stocks, decide when the price is right, and make your move. You’ll find out why a good deal is a good deal, no matter what the bulls and bears say, get tips in investing during jittery times, and understand how to detect hidden agendas in financial reports. And, you’ll uncover the keys to identifying the truly good businesses with enduring and growing value that continually outperform both their competition and the market as a whole. Discover how to: Understand financial investments View markets like a value investor Assess a company’s value Make use of value investing resources Incorporate fundamentals and intangibles Make the most of funds, REITs, and ETFs Develop your own investing style Figure out what a financial statement is really telling you Decipher earnings and cash-flow statements Detect irrational exuberance in company publications Make a value judgment and decide when to buy Complete with helpful lists of the telltale signs of value and “unvalue,” as well as the habits of highly successful value investors, Value Investing For Dummies, 2nd Edition, could be the smartest investment you’ll ever make!

The Essays of Warren Buffett

The Essays of Warren Buffett
Author: Lawrence A. Cunningham,Warren E. Buffett
Publsiher: Carolina Academic Press
Total Pages: 306
Release: 2013-03-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781611634471

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In the third edition of this international best seller, Lawrence Cunningham brings you the latest wisdom from Warren Buffett’s annual letters to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders. New material addresses: the financial crisis and its continuing implications for investors, managers and society; the housing bubble at the bottom of that crisis; the debt and derivatives excesses that fueled the crisis and how to deal with them; controlling risk and protecting reputation in corporate governance; Berkshire’s acquisition and operation of Burlington Northern Santa Fe; the role of oversight in heavily regulated industries; investment possibilities today; and weaknesses of popular option valuation models. Some other material has been rearranged to deepen the themes and lessons that the collection has always produced: Buffett’s “owner-related business principles” are in the prologue as a separate subject and valuation and accounting topics are spread over four instead of two sections and reordered to sharpen their payoff. Media coverage is available at the following links: Interviews/Podcasts: Motley Fool, click here. Money, Riches and Wealth, click here. Manual of Ideas, click here. Corporate Counsel, click here. Reviews: William J. Taylor, ABA Banking Journal, click here. Bob Morris, Blogging on Business, click here. Pamela Holmes, Saturday Evening Post, click here. Kevin M. LaCroix, D&O Diary, click here. Blog Posts: On Finance issues (Columbia University), click here. On Berkshire post-Buffett (Manual of Ideas), click here. On Publishing the book (Value Walk), click here. On Governance issues (Harvard University blog), click here. Featured Stories/Recommended Reading: Motley Fool, click here. Stock Market Blog, click here. Motley Fool Interviews with LAC at Berkshire's 2013 Annual Meeting Berkshire Businesses: Vastly Different, Same DNA, click here. Is Berkshire's Fat Wallet an Enemy to Its Success?, click here. Post-Buffett Berkshire: Same Question, Same Answer, click here. How a Disciplined Value Approach Works Across the Decades, click here. Through the Years: Constant Themes in Buffett's Letters, click here. Buffett's Single Greatest Accomplishment, click here. Where Buffett Is Finding Moats These Days, click here. How Buffett Has Changed Through the Years, click here. Speculating on Buffett's Next Acquisition, click here. Buffett Says “Chief Risk Officers” Are a Terrible Mistake, click here. Berkshire Without Buffett, click here.

Animal Spirits

Animal Spirits
Author: George A. Akerlof,Robert J. Shiller
Publsiher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 264
Release: 2010-02-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781400834723

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The global financial crisis has made it painfully clear that powerful psychological forces are imperiling the wealth of nations today. From blind faith in ever-rising housing prices to plummeting confidence in capital markets, "animal spirits" are driving financial events worldwide. In this book, acclaimed economists George Akerlof and Robert Shiller challenge the economic wisdom that got us into this mess, and put forward a bold new vision that will transform economics and restore prosperity. Akerlof and Shiller reassert the necessity of an active government role in economic policymaking by recovering the idea of animal spirits, a term John Maynard Keynes used to describe the gloom and despondence that led to the Great Depression and the changing psychology that accompanied recovery. Like Keynes, Akerlof and Shiller know that managing these animal spirits requires the steady hand of government--simply allowing markets to work won't do it. In rebuilding the case for a more robust, behaviorally informed Keynesianism, they detail the most pervasive effects of animal spirits in contemporary economic life--such as confidence, fear, bad faith, corruption, a concern for fairness, and the stories we tell ourselves about our economic fortunes--and show how Reaganomics, Thatcherism, and the rational expectations revolution failed to account for them. Animal Spirits offers a road map for reversing the financial misfortunes besetting us today. Read it and learn how leaders can channel animal spirits--the powerful forces of human psychology that are afoot in the world economy today. In a new preface, they describe why our economic troubles may linger for some time--unless we are prepared to take further, decisive action.