A Pandemic Forecasting Framework An Application Of Risk Analysis

This paper introduces a simple, frequently and easily updated, close to the data epidemiological model that has been used for near-term forecast and policy analysis. We provide several practical examples of how the model has been used. We explain the epidemic development in the UK, the USA and Brazil through the model lens. Moreover, we show how our model would have predicted that a super infectious variant, such as the delta, would spread and argue that current vaccination levels in many countries are not enough to curb other waves of infections in the future. Finally, we briefly discuss the importance of how to model re-infections in epidemiological models.

As the culminating volume in the DCP3 series, volume 9 will provide an overview of DCP3 findings and methods, a summary of messages and substantive lessons to be taken from DCP3, and a further discussion of cross-cutting and synthesizing topics across the first eight volumes. The introductory chapters (1-3) in this volume take as their starting point the elements of the Essential Packages presented in the overview chapters of each volume. First, the chapter on intersectoral policy priorities for health includes fiscal and intersectoral policies and assembles a subset of the population policies and applies strict criteria for a low-income setting in order to propose a "highest-priority" essential package. Second, the chapter on packages of care and delivery platforms for universal health coverage (UHC) includes health sector interventions, primarily clinical and public health services, and uses the same approach to propose a highest priority package of interventions and policies that meet similar criteria, provides cost estimates, and describes a pathway to UHC.

This guidance is an update of WHO global influenza preparedness plan: the role of WHO and recommendations for national measures before and during pandemics, published March 2005 (WHO/CDS/CSR/GIP/2005.5).

This edited book is a compilation of scholarly articles on the latest developments in the field of AI, Blockchain, and ML/DL in cloud security. This book is designed for security and risk assessment professionals, and to help undergraduate, postgraduate students, research scholars, academicians, and technology professionals who are interested in learning practical approaches to cloud security. It covers practical strategies for assessing the security and privacy of cloud infrastructure and applications and shows how to make cloud infrastructure secure to combat threats and attacks, and prevent data breaches. The chapters are designed with a granular framework, starting with the security concepts, followed by hands-on assessment techniques based on real-world studies. Readers will gain detailed information on cloud computing security that—until now—has been difficult to access. This book: • Covers topics such as AI, Blockchain, and ML/DL in cloud security. • Presents several case studies revealing how threat actors abuse and exploit cloud environments to spread threats. • Explains the privacy aspects you need to consider in the cloud, including how they compare with aspects considered in traditional computing models. • Examines security delivered as a service—a different facet of cloud security.

This paper discusses the impact of the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in the financial sector. It highlights the benefits these technologies bring in terms of financial deepening and efficiency, while raising concerns about its potential in widening the digital divide between advanced and developing economies. The paper advances the discussion on the impact of this technology by distilling and categorizing the unique risks that it could pose to the integrity and stability of the financial system, policy challenges, and potential regulatory approaches. The evolving nature of this technology and its application in finance means that the full extent of its strengths and weaknesses is yet to be fully understood. Given the risk of unexpected pitfalls, countries will need to strengthen prudential oversight.

Urgent policy action is needed to control the pandemic, limit scarring, and transform the global economy. The global recovery continues, thanks to unprecedented monetary, fiscal, and financial support over the past year. However, pandemic-induced divergences are persisting, driven by stark differences in access to vaccines and policy space. The Fund will continue to support the membership deal with these ongoing and new challenges. Our priorities are to: vaccinate the world population to stem the spread of pandemic; calibrate policies to limit scarring, support the recovery, and counter growing divergences within and between countries; and accelerate the transformation of the global economy to achieve a more inclusive, greener, and digital recovery.

This two-volume book provides an insight into the 10th International Conference on Soft Computing for Problem Solving (SocProS 2020). This international conference is a joint technical collaboration of Soft Computing Research Society and Indian Institute of Technology Indore. The book presents the latest achievements and innovations in the interdisciplinary areas of soft computing. It brings together the researchers, engineers and practitioners to discuss thought-provoking developments and challenges, in order to select potential future directions. It covers original research papers in the areas including but not limited to algorithms (artificial immune system, artificial neural network, genetic algorithm, genetic programming and particle swarm optimization) and applications (control systems, data mining and clustering, finance, weather forecasting, game theory, business and forecasting applications). The book will be beneficial for young as well as experienced researchers dealing across complex and intricate real-world problems for which finding a solution by traditional methods is a difficult task.

The internet of medical things provides significant advantages for the well-being of society by increasing the quality of life and reducing medical expenses. An important step towards a smart healthcare system is to utilize the potential of existing technologies in order to deliver the best services to users and improve their circumstances. With the help of internet of medical things technologies, self-care and early diagnosis are influential services in strengthening the healthcare ecosystem, especially those which utilize remote monitoring systems. The Internet of Medical Things (IoMT) and Telemedicine Frameworks and Applications focuses on the role of artificial intelligence, the internet of medical things, and telemedicine as well as the advantages and challenges that can occur from the integration of these technologies. The book also evolves methodologies to develop frameworks for the integration of the internet of medical things and telemedicine. Covering topics such as remote healthcare, medical imaging, and data science, this reference work is ideal for researchers, academicians, scholars, practitioners, instructors, and students.