History S Worst Predictions

This hardcover book is an excellent historical resource, and a great gift for anyone with an interest in history. Organized chronologically from Antiquity to modern times and beyond, History's Worst Predictions excavates the strata of history to expose the credulity and absurdity of humanity's prophetic utterances. Every aspect of human life—religion, politics, science, economy, culture, and war—has provided material for the most far-fetched and inaccurate of predictions. Chapters include: The "First" Second Coming: Saints Mark, Matthew, Luke, and Paul Plagiarist Prophet: Nostradamus Historical Imperative: Karl Marx Man of Peace: Neville Chamberlain All Shook Up: Variety Magazine This beautifully illustrated, full-color volume contains photographs and maps that bring each chapter to life, depicting the people and places responsible for some of the most infamous prophecies in human history.

History is strewn with mistakes. Many made by well intentioned people who were bright, intelligent, capable, but just made the wrong decision.

In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later it plunged to $30. In 1967, they said the USSR would have one of the fastest-growing economies in the year 2000; in 2000, the USSR did not exist. In 1911, it was pronounced that there would be no more wars in Europe; we all know how that turned out. Face it, experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys. And yet every day we ask them to predict the future — everything from the weather to the likelihood of a catastrophic terrorist attack. Future Babble is the first book to examine this phenomenon, showing why our brains yearn for certainty about the future, why we are attracted to those who predict it confidently, and why it’s so easy for us to ignore the trail of outrageously wrong forecasts. In this fast-paced, example-packed, sometimes darkly hilarious book, journalist Dan Gardner shows how seminal research by UC Berkeley professor Philip Tetlock proved that pundits who are more famous are less accurate — and the average expert is no more accurate than a flipped coin. Gardner also draws on current research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics to discover something quite reassuring: The future is always uncertain, but the end is not always near.

For the past three decades, many history professors have allowed their biases to distort the way America’s past is taught. These intellectuals have searched for instances of racism, sexism, and bigotry in our history while downplaying the greatness of America’s patriots and the achievements of “dead white men.” As a result, more emphasis is placed on Harriet Tubman than on George Washington; more about the internment of Japanese Americans during World War II than about D-Day or Iwo Jima; more on the dangers we faced from Joseph McCarthy than those we faced from Josef Stalin. A Patriot’s History of the United States corrects those doctrinaire biases. In this groundbreaking book, America’s discovery, founding, and development are reexamined with an appreciation for the elements of public virtue, personal liberty, and private property that make this nation uniquely successful. This book offers a long-overdue acknowledgment of America’s true and proud history.

"The level is appropriate for an upper-level undergraduate or graduate-level statistics major. Sampling: Design and Analysis (SDA) will also benefit a non-statistics major with a desire to understand the concepts of sampling from a finite population. A student with patience to delve into the rigor of survey statistics will gain even more from the content that SDA offers. The updates to SDA have potential to enrich traditional survey sampling classes at both the undergraduate and graduate levels. The new discussions of low response rates, non-probability surveys, and internet as a data collection mode hold particular value, as these statistical issues have become increasingly important in survey practice in recent years... I would eagerly adopt the new edition of SDA as the required textbook." (Emily Berg, Iowa State University) What is the unemployment rate? What is the total area of land planted with soybeans? How many persons have antibodies to the virus causing COVID-19? Sampling: Design and Analysis, Third Edition shows you how to design and analyze surveys to answer these and other questions. This authoritative text, used as a standard reference by numerous survey organizations, teaches the principles of sampling with examples from social sciences, public opinion research, public health, business, agriculture, and ecology. Readers should be familiar with concepts from an introductory statistics class including probability and linear regression; optional sections contain statistical theory for readers familiar with mathematical statistics. The third edition, thoroughly revised to incorporate recent research and applications, includes a new chapter on nonprobability samples—when to use them and how to evaluate their quality. More than 200 new examples and exercises have been added to the already extensive sets in the second edition. SDA’s companion website contains data sets, computer code, and links to two free downloadable supplementary books (also available in paperback) that provide step-by-step guides—with code, annotated output, and helpful tips—for working through the SDA examples. Instructors can use either R or SAS® software. SAS® Software Companion for Sampling: Design and Analysis, Third Edition by Sharon L. Lohr (2022, CRC Press) R Companion for Sampling: Design and Analysis, Third Edition by Yan Lu and Sharon L. Lohr (2022, CRC Press)

This revolutionary book proposes that the universe did not begin with a 'Big Bang' and that it is slowly converging to an equilibrium state. Key features of the book include: ? the modern model of the atom. ? How the Earth and Solar System formed. ? Evolution of life on Earth. ? Nucleosynthesis in stars. ? Recent changes in the Solar System. ? the various entities in the universe, including black holes, quasars and supernovas. ? the interstellar medium. ? the classical theory of relativity. ? Beunker's alternative theory of relativity. ? the Steady State Universe theory. ? the Big Bang theory of the universe is disproved. ? Redshift is caused by cosmic dust, not the Doppler Effect and an expanding universe. ? the universe is flat and infinite. ? Cosmic background radiation comes from the interstellar medium, not the Big Bang. ? Alternative scientific theories of the universe, including cyclic models. ? Religious and 'alien design' theories of creation. ? Were bacteria from space the first life on Earth? ? the new 'Evolving Universe' (towards equilibrium) model of the universe based on known changes in the last 10+ billion years. ? A simple proof of gravitational deflection of light. ? G.A. Mohr's large curvature correction for Finite Element Analysis. Industry and reader comment has included: "Some provocative and timely issues." "A huge topic."' the legendary John Argyris called G. A. Mohr "The greatest scientist in Australia."