Long Term Projections For Social Security

Updates the Cong. Budget Office¿s (CBO) previously published long-term projections of the Social Security (SS) program¿s finances, which cover the 75-year period spanning 2009-2083. Contents: (1) Finances of the SS Program: Projected Outlays and Revenues over the Next 75 Years; Uncertainty of Projections of SS¿s Finances; Outlays and Revenues; Trust Fund Ratio; (2) The Dist¿n. of SS Taxes and Benefits: 1st-Yr. Benefits; 1st-Yr. Replacement Rates; Lifetime Benefits; Lifetime Payroll Taxes and Lifetime Benefits for Workers, Dependents, and Survivors; (3) Demographic and Econ. Assumptions Used in CBO¿s Analysis: Assumptions about Interest, Inflation, and Unemploy. for 2020 and Later; Assumptions Underlying Projections of GDP and Earn.

Covers the 75-year period of Social Security (SS) spanning 2009 to 2083. Contents: (1) Finances of the SS Program: Projected Outlays and Revenues Over the Next 75 Years; Uncertainty of Projections of SS¿s Finances; Outlays and Revenues; Trust Fund Ratio; (2) Dist. of SS Taxes and Benefits: First-Year Benefits; First-Year Replacement Rates; Lifetime Benefits; Lifetime Payroll Taxes and Lifetime Benefits for Workers, Dependents, and Survivors; (3) Demographic and Econ. Assumptions: Interest, Inflation, and Unemploy. for 2020 and Later; Assumptions Underlying Projections of GDP and Earnings. Append.: Changes in Long-Term SS Projections Since 8/08; Differences Between Long-Term SS Projections and Those of the SS Trustees. Illus.

"This Congressional Budget Office (CBO) publication provides additional information about long-term projections of the Social Security program's finances that were included in The long-term budget outlook (June 2010, revised August 2010) and in Social security policy (July 2010). Those projections, which cover the 75-year period spanning 2010 to 2084, and the additional information presented in this document update projections CBO prepared last year and reported in CBO's Long-term projections for social security : 2009 update."--Pref.

NOTE: NO FURTHER DISCOUNT FOR THIS PRINT PRODUCT--OVERSTOCK SALE -- Significantly reduced list price while supplies last Presents 100-year projections for Social Security under current law. Focuses on the resource demands of the Social Security system, the program's finances, and projections of the benefits received by individuals in different age and income groups. Related products: Federal Benefits & Entitlement Programs is available here: https: //bookstore.gpo.gov/catalog/health-benefits/federal-benefits-entitlement-programs

Social Security (comprising Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) and Disability Insurance (DI)) is the largest single program in the federal governments budget. In 2010, annual outlays for the program exceeded annual revenues (excluding interest) credited to the combined trust funds. A gap between those amounts has persisted since then, and in fiscal year 2015 outlays exceeded tax revenues by almost 9 percent. As the baby-boom generation retires over the next 10 years, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projects, the gap will widen between amounts credited to the trust funds and payments to beneficiaries. This book considers 36 policy options that are among those commonly proposed by policymakers and analysts as a means of restoring financial security to the Social Security program. Furthermore, this book presents additional information about CBOs long-term projections for Social Security in the form of 15 exhibits that illustrate the programs finances and the distribution of benefits paid to and payroll taxes collected from various groups of people.

Chapter 1 Research Background, Objectives and Structure Ⅰ. Research background Ⅱ. Research objectives and structure Chapter 2 OECD SOCX Categories Ⅰ. OECD SOCX Ⅱ. Application of OECD SOCX to the 2013 Korean government budget Ⅲ. Limits of applying OECD SOCX classification to Korea, and future tasks Chapter 3 Expenditure Projection Method Ⅰ. Overview Ⅱ. Expenditure projection method Chapter 4 Social Insurance Fiscal Projections Ⅰ. National Pension Ⅱ. Civil service occupational pensions Ⅲ. National Health Insurance (NHI) and Long-term Care Insurance for the Elderly (LTCIE) Ⅳ. Unemployment Insurance (UI) and Workers Compensation Insurance (WCI) Chapter 5 Projections of Social Expenditure Finance by General Revenue (other than Social Insurance) Ⅰ. Programs for structured long-term projection model Ⅱ. Programs for simple projection model Chapter 6 Social Expenditure Projection Results and International Comparison Ⅰ. Social expenditure projection results Ⅱ. Social expenditure in major OECD countries Chapter 7 Conclusion and Policy Implications Ⅱ. Summary Ⅱ. Policy implications ￭References ￭Appendices [Appendix 1] Demographic and economic assumptions [Appendix 2] Application of the inflation rate as the rate of increase in general fiscal expenditure