The Chinese Economy In Crisis

1. China's economy 2008 and outlook for 2009 : crisis of a sharp slowdown / John Wong -- 2. Recession averted? China's domestic response to the global financial crisis / Yang Mu and Lim Tin Seng -- 3. China's decisive response to the economic crisis bears fruits / Sarah Y. Tong -- 4. Pearl River Delta in a crisis of industrialisation / Huang Yanjie and Chen Shaofeng -- 5. Impact of the global economic crisis on the Pearl River Delta and Yangtze River Delta regions / Yu Hong -- 6. Taiwan's economy in the financial crisis and its outlook / Zhao Hong -- 7. Hong Kong's economy on the road to recovery? / Zhang Yang -- 8. Financial crisis offers respite for the Macao economy / Zhang Yang and Fung Kwan -- 9. China's trade prospects and China-ASEAN trade relations / Sarah Y. Tong and Chong Siew Keng -- 10. Sino-South Korean bilateral trade in the current economic crisis / Zhou Shengqi -- 11. Ascendance of China's new left amidst the global ginancial crisis / Bo Zhiyue and Chen Gang -- 12. Will social stability in China be undermined in the financial crisis? / Zhao Litao and Huang Yanjie -- 13. The international financial crisis and China's external response / Zheng Yongnian and Lye Liang Fook

A controversial look at the impending Chinese economic collapse—the history behind it, its contemporary causes, and its dire implications for the global economy All the experts agree: the 21st century belongs to China. Given America's looming insolvency and the possibility of the collapse of the U.S. dollar, who can doubt that China is poised to take over the role of economic superpower? Written by political economist and leading financial journalist James Gorrie, this book offers a highly controversial, contrarian view of contemporary China. Drawing upon a wealth of historical and up-to-the-minute data, Gorrie makes a strong case that China, itself, is on the verge of an economic crisis of epic proportions. He explains how, caught in a recurrent boom/bust cycle that has played itself out several times over the past sixty years, China is again approaching total economic and social collapse. But with one important difference this time: they may very well take the entire global economy down with them. Explores the Chinese communist party's unfortunate history of making costly and very bloody mistakes on an enormous scale One-by-one Gorrie analyzes those critical mistakes and explains how they may lead to economic collapse in China and global depression Describes Chinese "cannibal capitalism," and where its massive abuse of the country's environment, people, and arable lands is leading that country and the world economy Chronicles China's history of recurring economic crisis and explains why all the evidence suggests that history is about to repeat itself

The authors of this work argue strongly that the decentralization that has taken place in China over the past two decades threatens to undermine the future of reform and perhaps even the state itself. They contend that reform has undermined state capacity in China, and that the state's fiscal revenues, as a percentage of GNP, have declined and will continue to decline into the foreseeable future, thereby weakening China's ability to mobilize resources for modernization.

The book analyzes the nature of Chinese economy which enables it to go through the financial tsunami pretty unscathed. It discusses the stimulus package designed by the Chinese government to keep the economy on course, as well as its results ? both positive and negative aspects in the middle and long term. The 2008?09 financial crisis makes it very clear that we need a two-pronged approach to deal with the situation, namely governments need a) to take quick and decisive actions to stem any further deterioration in financial systems; b) to revamp their economies by refitting existing engines in the real economy. China, as the third largest economy in the world, and with its robust domestic consumption and a healthy financial system, is one of the most important drivers to pull the world out of recession. According to the Chinese leadership, China's main contribution is to keep its own economy running smoothly. In response to the crisis, the Beijing government has poured money into the following sectors: public housing, earthquake reconstruction, physical infrastructure, social security, education and healthcare. So far, the results have helped China to maintain the targeted high growth. Given the open nature of its economy, its high growth has also benefited other countries, thereby contributing to the global economy. The current crisis strengthens a trend that has emerged since the Asian financial crisis of 1997. And that is the enhanced economic integration of China with its East Asian neighbours and Southeast Asia. This augurs well for East Asian regionalism which may include the birth of Asian Monetary Fund. The global environment in the wake of the crisis poses new challenges to China, for example, in the form of shrinking size of its traditional export market in the USA and Europe. China needs to modify its strategy from previous export-oriented and investment-driven strategy into one with more emphasis on consumption. There is a lot of scope for China to embark on productive consumption such as cleaning up the environment, physical infrastructure, social security, education and healthcare. If done well, they will lay a firm basis for long-term economic development. It represents an occasion for China to embark on a nation-wide effort to upgrade its economy in the key sectors. At the same time, attention needs to be paid to improving economic-legal institutional framework to support China's role as a major global player.Contents: IntroductionThe 2008 Financial Crisis and the Chinese EconomyShanghai as an International Financial CentreThe Renminbi DebatePromoting China-ASEAN Economic CooperationThe Flying Geese ModelReflections on Developmental ModelsBy Way of Conclusion: Some Random Thoughts Readership: Academics interested in Asian Studies, China's economy and the financial crisis; general public.

China's Crisis of Success provides new perspectives on China's rise to superpower status, showing that China has reached a threshold where success has eliminated the conditions that enabled miraculous growth. Continued success requires re-invention of its economy and politics. The old economic strategy based on exports and infrastructure now piles up debt without producing sustainable economic growth, and Chinese society now resists the disruptive change that enabled earlier reforms. While China's leadership has produced a strategy for successful economic transition, it is struggling to manage the politics of implementing that strategy. After analysing the economics of growth, William H. Overholt explores critical social issues of the transition, notably inequality, corruption, environmental degradation, and globalisation. He argues that Xi Jinping is pursuing the riskiest political strategy of any important national leader. Alternative outcomes include continued impressive growth and political stability, Japanese-style stagnation, and a major political-economic crisis.

The book provides one of the most detailed and comprehensive reviews of the growth experience of a group of low and middle income countries before and during the global crisis. It then explores their growth prospects after the recovery and how they may be shaped by the new global economic environment.

This book examines China's response to the 2007-2008 global financial crisis, and the resulting new status acquired by China within the international economy. It considers the things China did to weather the crisis, discussing the stimulus package put in place by China and how China's banks coped, but above all examines the measures which countries outside China look to China to put in place in order to better encourage and secure world-wide economic recovery, measures such as currency revaluation, tax reform and greater stimulation of domestic demand. The book contrasts China's response to the crisis, and China's increasingly central role in the world economy, with the responses of the European Union. The book also assesses China's increasingly important regional role, in particular its dialogue with the new Japanese government, and China's positioning towards Southeast Asia, and also discusses the growth of Chinese foreign direct investment.