The Evolution Of Asian Financial Linkages

This paper examines how Asian financial linkages with systemic economies have changed over time. After developing a factor model, it estimates Asian financial sensitivities to systemic economies, and then seeks to uncover their key determinants, which include trade and financial linkages, as well as policies. In line with Asia’s growing role in the global economy—including through deeper financial integration—regional financial markets have become more sensitive to systemic economies. Asian financial sensitivities to systemic economies exhibit cyclical fluctuations, and reached historically high levels during the latest global financial crisis of 2008–09. While macroeconomic policy frameworks have helped Asian economies cope well with market turbulence, they cannot completely insulate Asian financial markets against major global financial shocks.

The Asian financial landscape has grown more interconnected over the past 2 decades. Previous financial crises have shown how financial volatility can transmit rapidly across an interconnected financial network. Empirical analyses have shown, moreover, how financial volatility can reverberate across the macroeconomy. This report summarizes the lessons from past crises, reviews the evidence of the macrofinancial linkages and feedback effects of financial distress, and proposes policy considerations and coordinated responses to enhance financial stability and resilience.

"The purpose of this book is to empirically analyse the multifaceted nature of financial linkages in East Asia and to discuss the key policy challenges faced by the region's economies. Although the emphasis is placed on East Asia, some of the chapters cover a broader area of countries depending on the aim of the study. Particular areas of focus in these studies include: the evolution of cross-border financial linkages in East Asia; long-run economic consequences of remittance inflows and natural resource dependence; and policy priorities for the financial integration and management of resource-rich economies."--

This book deals with the challenges of macro financial linkages in the emerging markets.

' The purpose of this book is to empirically analyse the multifaceted nature of financial linkages in East Asia and to discuss the key policy challenges faced by the region''s economies. Although the emphasis is placed on East Asia, some of the chapters cover a broader area of countries depending on the aim of the study. Particular areas of focus in these studies include: the evolution of cross-border financial linkages in East Asia; long-run economic consequences of remittance inflows and natural resource dependence; and policy priorities for the financial integration and management of resource-rich economies. Contents:The Evolution of Cross-Border Financial Linkages in East Asia:Asia-Pacific Economic Linkages: Empirical Evidence in the GVAR Framework (Wang Chen and Takuji Kinkyo)Linkages Among East Asian Stock Markets, US Financial Markets Stress, and Gold (Takashi Miyazaki and Shigeyuki Hamori)Business Cycle Volatility and Hot Money in Emerging East Asian Markets (Xiaojing Cai and Shigeyuki Hamori)Long-Run Economic Consequences of Remittance Inflows and Natural Resource Dependence:Dynamic Impacts of Remittances on Economic Growth in Asia: Evidence from the Dynamic Heterogeneous Panel (Nannan Yuan, Takeshi Inoue and Shigeyuki Hamori)Effects of Remittances on Poverty Reduction in Asia (Takeshi Inoue and Shigeyuki Hamori)Financial Development and Growth in Resource-Rich Countries (Kazue Demachi and Takuji Kinkyo)Policy Priorities for the Financial Integration and Management of Resource-Rich Economies:Spillovers of Financial Stress Shocks: Evidence and Policy Implications (Wang Chen and Takuji Kinkyo)Challenges to Macroeconomic Management in Resource–Rich Developing Economies (Kazue Demachi and Takuji Kinkyo)Policies and Prospects of ASEAN Financial Integration (Satoshi Shimizu) Readership: Advanced undergraduate or postgraduate students studying Asian economics (particularly East Asian economics). Keywords:Financial Linkages;Remittances;Natural Resources;Financial Development;Financial Integration;Economic Growth;Business Cycle;Poverty Reduction;East Asia;ASEAN'

An IMF paper reviewing the policy responses of Indonesia, Korea and Thailand to the 1997 Asian crisis, comparing the actions of these three countries with those of Malaysia and the Philippines. Although all judgements are still tentative, important lessons can be learned from the experiences of the last two years.

Financial crises often transmit across geographical borders and different asset classes. Modeling these interactions is empirically challenging, and many of the proposed methods give different results when applied to the same data sets. In this book the authors set out their work on a general framework for modeling the transmission of financial crises using latent factor models. They show how their framework encompasses a number of other empirical contagion models and why the results between the models differ. The book builds a framework which begins from considering contagion in the bond markets during 1997-1998 across a number of countries, and culminates in a model which encompasses multiple assets across multiple countries through over a decade of crisis events from East Asia in 1997-1998 to the sub prime crisis during 2008. Program code to support implementation of similar models is available.

The establishment of the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) at end-2015 has brought into sharp focus the issue of financial and economic integration in the region. This paper takes stock of ASEAN’s financial integration and prospects. ASEAN integration could accelerate in the years ahead; it will likely be a safe, gradual process consistent with the “ASEAN way” of consensus decision-making. Properly phased and sequenced, closer financial integration has the potential to help increase real incomes and accelerate real convergence within ASEAN and narrow the region’s gap with advanced Asia. Realizing the promise of financial integration will require ASEAN countries to make long-term investments in financial infrastructure. Policymakers can draw on the experience of their more advanced peers and of other regions. Gradualism and safeguards should not be excuses for inaction or financial protectionism. Reliance on flexible policy frameworks and a strengthened and tested regional financial safety net should be part of the agenda. Closer engagement with the Fund could also help.