Valuing Pharmaceutical Companies

The pharmaceutical sector offers some of the most exciting financial and business opportunities today. This essential and practical guide gives you all the tools you need to assess such opportunities. The second edition of the respected Pharmaceutical Equities, it has been thoroughly revised and updated to reflect the changes, especially in life sciences, since the first edition. The book is international in outlook, and explains the rules of the game not just for wise investing, but also for understanding how this uniquely complex and highly regulated business works. The authors explain: HOW to evaluate the technology and research and development, as well as the sales potential of ensuing products WHAT key issues will affect and influence companies in the next few years HOW to balance potential high returns on breakthrough products against accompanying risks The book begins with a look at the global pharmaceutical industry, from its history to the structure of present day companies. The second part explores how to analyse and value pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. The final part deals with trading itself and looks at share price movement and the main equity markets throughout the world. Both practical and comprehensive, this handbook will be essential reading for investors, analysers and corporate planners - and is the ONLY book which will show you how to actually value pharmaceutical companies.

This is the first complete guide to valuation in life sciences for industry professionals, investors, and academics. Boris Bogdan and Ralph Villiger introduce the characteristics of drug and medical device development, explain how to translate these into the valuation, and provide valuable industry data. Special emphasis is put on the practicability of the proposed methods by including many hands-on examples, without compromising on realistic results.

The first book to provide a simple and practical means of valuing biotech companies The book begins with a short history of the biotechnology industry; this is important as although it is about 30 years old, the first company went public only in 1996, so it is possible to plot the course of investment waves and dips It examines the European industry and its evolvement, and draws parallels between the similarities and differences between that and the US Looks at the various companies which make up the biotech industry (therapeutic; life sciences; and the medical technology company) and gives tools for the investor to properly evaluate them Praise for Biotechnology Valuation "Keegan states that the valuation of Biotech companies is as much an art as a science. This brief but comprehensive review of the skills and knowledge required, not of just the financial market and sentiment, but also of the technical attributes of a company and the drug development and regulatory hurdles that must be overcome, highlights the importance of the breadth of understanding required. Biotech investing is not for the timid, but it can bring substantial returns. Keegan's book, punctuated with his personal experience and opinions, is a good place to start." —Chris Blackwell, Chief Executive, Vectura Group plc "A user-friendly, yet thorough discussion of a notoriously difficult topic. Dr Keegan's book is a fine resource for both business types and academicians." —Steve Winokur, Managing Director, CanaccordAdams "A highly readable and comprehensive explanation of the technical and commercial parameters that influence biotechnology companies at all stages of development, providing clear context for selection from the toolkit of valuation methodologies the author recommends to assess company and product performance, or ascribe value." —Dr L.M. Allan, Director, Bioscience Enterprise Programme, University of Cambridge "A fabulous approach to a difficult topic." —Deirdre Y. Gillespie, MD, President & CEO, La Jolla Pharmaceutical Company

This practical guide for advanced students and decision-makers in the pharma and biotech industry presents key success factors in R&D along with value creators in pharmaceutical innovation. A team of editors and authors with extensive experience in academia and industry and at some of the most prestigious business schools in Europe discusses in detail the innovation process in pharma as well as common and new research and innovation strategies. In doing so, they cover collaboration and partnerships, open innovation, biopharmaceuticals, translational medicine, good manufacturing practice, regulatory affairs, and portfolio management. Each chapter covers controversial aspects of recent developments in the pharmaceutical industry, with the aim of stimulating productive debates on the most effective and efficient innovation processes. A must-have for young professionals and MBA students preparing to enter R&D in pharma or biotech as well as for students on a combined BA/biomedical and natural sciences program.

The selection of biotech stocks for investment is more difficult compared with the selection of other stocks and industries that possess historical data, since biotechnology is a recently new science. In the first edition of this book, we described the crucial parameters for the valuation of an early stage biotech company without a drug in the market. In this edition, we analyze novel financial models that can value stocks of biotech companies with products in the market or products under development (in pre-clinical and clinical studies). All of these parameters should be helpful to potential new investors when creating a stock portfolio that includes highly promising biotech companies. Our strategy of selecting highly promising stocks based on all parameters described in this book and of performing a basic financial modeling analysis with DFC and/or real options valuation models has proven very successful, as this strategy provides returns higher than 100% in most cases. In the first edition of this book, based on our strategy, we suggested that Juno Therapeutics and Kite Pharma were "hot" stocks. At that time, Kite's stock was $50.19, while Juno's stock was $54.21. Since then, Kite's stock reached $179.79, with the company acquired by Gilead for $11.9 billion, while Juno's stock reached $86.96, with the company acquired by Celgene for $9 billion. Furthermore, Moderna Therapeutics, a private company that we valued at $5.5 billion in 2016 based on our real options financial model, today has a $7.5 billion valuation. This newly revised and expanded version was written to help investors in the selection of biotech stocks based on different scientific and financial criteria.

Over the last decade, the approach to strategic management of Drug Development has been progressively rationalised, in parallel to the development of financial and risk analysis quantitative models. This book examines the evolution of R&D risk-adjusted models, arguing that financial evaluation has progressively moving away from deterministic quantitative analysis, in favour of non-linear, stochastic algorithms.The relentless quest for capturing the value of Pharmaceutical Research will demand for a new emphasis on integration among disciplines and models. The application of risk adjusted evaluation models to earlier stages of the discovery process is an important area for further research and value creation.

This book is the first complete guide to valuation in life sciences for industry professionals, investors, and academics. It introduces the characteristics of drug and medical device development, explains how to translate these into the valuation, and provides valuable industry data. Special emphasis is put on the practicability of the proposed methods by including many hands-on examples, without compromising on realistic results.