China S Long Term Economic Development

The study provides a major reassessment of the scale and scope of China’s resurgence over the past half century, employing quantitative measurement techniques which are standard practice in OECD countries, but which have not hitherto been available for China.

This book examines the evolution of Chinese governmental governance and its long-lasting impact on Chinese economic development, firstly by examining the formation of Chinese style governance, the core contents of this governance and its vitality compared to other governance patterns in Chinese history. Secondly, this book discusses the effectiveness of this governance in supporting economic development before the Song dynasty and its failure in serving economic development during the past three to five centuries. Ultimately, Hongjun Zhao predicts the direction Chinese governance will take in the next 20 years.

Focuses on China's long-term pattern of growth and employment, demographic shifts, and rural-urban migration, its agricultural trade and local elections, China's banking sector reform and its fiscal sustainability, its environmental concerns, and much more.

In this book, Dr. Jun Zhang rebuts the widely-held view that Chinese economic growth is unsustainable due to low consumption and a reliance on exports and enormous fixed-asset investments. Though many believe this “structural imbalance” of the Chinese economy will become a serious problem in the long run, Zhang holds a bullish long-term outlook owing to China's long-term economic development. For Zhang, China’s structural problems are greatly exaggerated and certain structures, such as regional governing entities, ensure that China will not face the same economic issues that Japan encountered. Through regional competition, regional governments will persevere; Zhang predicts that China will overtake the US as a superpower. Zhang concludes by acknowledging the real dangers facing China’s economy, and offering advice on the reforms needed to ensure continued growth.

The Chinese economy has entered a new phase of development in which sources of growth are not so much dependent upon pure increases in labour, investment and credit expansion, but from productivity improvement, structural changes, technological progress and the benefits from improvement of the social security and welfare improvement. When market functions are fully established to become a main channel for allocating resources, the entrepreneurship will flourish engaging in more innovative activities, workers will move more freely and have more incentives to improve their skills, firms will become more productive through market entry and exit, the economic structure will become more balanced because of the improved resource allocation, and in the end, growth will become more spontaneous and sustainable. In this sense, reforms could deliver ‘dividend’ by raising China’s potential economic growth rates. For China to confront all the challenges it faces at present, the reforms undertaken now have to be deep, comprehensive and far-reaching in order to succeed in paving the way for China to complete the task of transformation in the long-term. There is no better alternative than deepening the market-oriented reform in advancing the course of China’s modernisation for future development and prosperity and lifting China to the status of a developed economy in the next two decades. The recent China update books have covered the topic of reform from different angles and this new book is another attempt to address this important issue.

Why investment and financial reform are essential to China's continued economic well-being Although China's economy has grown spectacularly over the last twenty-five years, economists disagree about how the Chinese economy is likely to fare in the short- and long-term future. Is China's growth sustainable, or has China relied too much on investment, which is subject to diminishing returns, and not enough on technological change? The first book on the relation between investment, finance, and growth in China, How China Grows dismisses this concern. James Riedel, Jing Jin, and Jian Gao argue that investment has not only been the engine of growth, but also the main source of technological progress and structural change in China. What threatens future growth instead, the authors argue, are the weaknesses of China's financial system that undermine efficiency in investment allocation. Financial-sector reform and development are necessary, not only for sustaining long-term growth, but also for maintaining macroeconomic stability. Although it includes some technical economic analysis, How China Grows is accessible to noneconomists and will benefit anyone who is interested in development finance in general and in China's economic growth in particular—whether economists, political scientists, bankers, or business people.

This book provides a comprehensive overview on Chinese economy in the last three decades and an insightful view on the future reform in China. The China's miracle is used to describe its rapid economic growth in the last thirty years. The author aims to demystify the miracle by analyzing the past and present of economic transitions and showcases the blueprint for future economic reforms, from the perspectives of institutional transformation, urbanization and changes in the labor markets. The book contains hottest topics on Chinese economy, such as land market reform, new-type urbanization and financial reform. It investigates both the long-run growth and short-run fluctuations. The factor markets, including labor market, capital market and land market, are analyzed as key determinants to long-run growth and consumption, while investment and net export are investigated as elements to short-run fluctuations. Contents:China's Economic Growth Under Globalization (Zhigang Yuan and Yuxin Yu)Potential Economic Growth of China in Transition (Zhigang Yuan and Yuxin Yu)Is China's Export Really Special? Perspective from Trade in Value Added (Changyuan Luo and Jiajun Xu)The Consumption Issue in the Long-term Growth and Short-term Fluctuations (Zhigang Yuan and Can Rao)The Political Economy of Chinese Reform (Zhe Yang)Whither Federalism, Chinese Style (Yongqin Wang)Financial Reform: Opportunity and Challenge to China's Future Growth (Zhigang Yuan and Jingwen Yu)China's Urbanization: Past, Present, and Future (Hao Zheng)China's Real Estate Market Development (Yuan Wang)Fiscal System and Local Government Behavior (Shengyan Xu and Wancong Li)The Demographic Factors in the Chinese Economy (Qin Chen)The Labor Market in China (Qin Chen)Social Justice and Intergenerational Income Mobility (Lin Chen)Further Development of Urbanization and the Policy Research on the Rural Migrant Workers Granted Urban Citizenship (Jing Tan) Readership: Undergraduates, graduates, researchers, academics who are interested in Chinese economy and the China model. Keywords:Chinese Economy;Economic Transition;China Model;Political Economy;Financial ReformKey Features:Professor Yuan is the dean of school of economics in Fudan university, an eminent economist in China and a Sun Yefang Prize laureate (highest honor of economics in China)The book contains hottest topics on Chinese economy, such as land market reform, new-type urbanization and financial reformThe book provides rigorous and profound theoretic analysis on Chinese economy while interpreting the economic problems in China with easy-to-understand terms

This book provides a timely update on the ongoing transformation of the Chinese economy. As the world's second largest economy, China marked the 40th anniversary of economic reform and opening-up in 2018. In this book, top scholars on Chinese economic studies review China's remarkable economic achievement in the past four decades and analyse the challenges facing economic development in the country.The book focusses on structural changes of China's economy, which are essential to steer the country towards sustainable development. It studies the long-term factors affecting the Chinese economy such as education and innovation, and emerging sources of economic growth, such as e-commerce. Other important aspects of the Chinese economy explored in this book include the economic role of the Chinese government, fiscal reforms, capital account liberalisation, housing policies, competition policy and anti-monopoly law, China's export, trends of regional development and reforms of state-owned enterprises.This rich collection of policy-oriented economic studies is also a tribute to Professor John Wong, former research director of the East Asian Institute, National University of Singapore, who passed away in June 2018. For over three decades, Professor Wong had followed and provided insightful analyses on China's economic development.