Cocktail Party Economics

A little Economics training can go a long way in helping you understand the real world you live in. Assistant Professor of Economics Evie Adomait, along with her writing partner Richard Maranta, write simply about what can appear to be a complicated subject while never dumbing down the intellectual ideas which make Economic thought so important in this day and age. From the classroom to a cocktail party, this book will help you hold your own in conversations about Economics.

“Successful investors are those who can pick the right investments for different economic conditions. It's like matching wine with food. In this book, Victor Canto is both your star chef and sommelier. Don't be afraid to put Cocktail Economics to work today. You'll find that two-star investing has become a four-star endeavor.” –Charlie Parker, financial maven and former Chief Financial Officer of Continental Insurance “Victor Canto's insight and uber-rational approach will forever change the way you look at risk and return. Perhaps equally important, he'll make you a better economic and political thinker. No one has a greater understanding of how marginal changes in world economics and politics impact portfolio holdings.” –Neil Rose, CFA, CIO Cadinha & Co. “I count Victor Canto among today's best and smartest investment advisors. He has made money in both the good times and bad for many a satisfied client. With this book, he has now done all investors, including myself, an important service: He has written a widely accessible book about the marriage of economics and investing, and the crucial ties that bind the two. It's the story of how big ideas make the investment world go round.” –From the Foreword by Dr. John Rutledge, Chairman, Rutledge Capital, LLC What can moonshine, mountain climbers, power plants, salmon, football players, and well-known celebrities teach you about investing? More than you ever imagined! Through entertaining, easy-to-understand anecdotes, analogies, and examples, Canto reveals why the most successful investment strategies reflect a balance of active and passive approaches. You'll learn how to “read” economic cycles, identifying the specific asset classes most likely to outperform in tomorrow's business environment. Construct and optimize your winning investment plan, step-by-step, from start to finish! MAKE HAY WHILE THE SUN SHINES The case for predicting, forecasting, and timing PASSIVE INVESTING? ACTIVE INVESTING? NO. BOTH. Why you need to take both sides in the never-ending debate ELASTICITY: CATCH IT IF YOU CAN Putting industry behavior to work for you CALIFORNIA , FRANCE, AND THE “LOCATION EFFECT” Investing internationally in the age of globalization TURN “SMOKE” INTO “SIGNALS” Making the most of publicly available price data YOUR PORTFOLIO VS. THE GOVERNMENT Anticipating and responding to regulations and taxation TILT TOWARD SUCCESS, ONE STEP AT A TIME Build your benchmark portfolio, then optimize it for changing environments Victor Canto reveals exactly how the economy affects markets and how to “read” business cycles so you can profit from every shift in the business cycle. Among the topics covered: investing internationally in the age of globalization; transforming price data into usable market “signals”; anticipating the impact of regulations and taxation; and more. From start to finish, Canto's focus is practical, and his focus is simple: outstanding investment results. Foreword xii Preface xvii Introduction: The Above-Average Opportunity xxi Chapter 1: The Buy-and-Hold Connection: Investing Fundamentals, Courtesy of the American Homeowner, the American Dream–or Reality? 1 Chapter 2: Leaping the Transaction-Cost Hurdle: Sometimes It's Easy, Other Times It's Not 19 Chapter 3: Dressing Appropriately for the Stock Market: The Potential Payoffs of a Switching Strategy 31 Chapter 4: Catch Elasticity If You Can: An Introduction to Industry Behavior 47 Chapter 5: Putting High-Beta to Work: Industry-Based Portfolio Strategies 67 Chapter 6: California Is a Country: An Introduction to the Location Effect 83 Chapter 7: &And France Is a State: How to Invest Internationally in the Age of Globalization 99 Chapter 8: Pipelines to Our Investment Returns: How We Get What We Want, in the Amount We Want, and When We Want It 113 Chapter 9: Who Are You? Investor Profiles and the Case for Asset Allocation 131 Chapter 10: Your Benchmark Portfolio. . .and Beyond 145 Chapter 11: Turning Smoke into Signals: How to Make the Most Out of Price Data 157 Chapter 12: Making Hay While the Sun Shines: The Case for Predicting, Forecasting, and Timing 173 Chapter 13: The Fight Is On: How to Invest Properly Relative to Regulations, Inflation, and Taxation 195 Chapter 14: Ending the Never-Ending Debate: Active vs. Passive Investing and Why You Can Take Both Sides 217 Chapter 15: A Rational Walk Down Wall Street: Darting Between Passive and Active When the Odds Are in Your Favor 233 Chapter 16: Alpha Bets: The Case for Hedge Funds and a Greek Letter You'll Want in Your Portfolio 247 Chapter 17: Tilting Toward Success: A Step-by-Step Guide to Above-Average Asset Allocation 265 Index 291

Is Wall Street bad for Main Street America? "A well-told exploration of why our current economy is leaving too many behind." —The New York Times In looking at the forces that shaped the 2016 presidential election, one thing is clear: much of the population believes that our economic system is rigged to enrich the privileged elites at the expense of hard-working Americans. This is a belief held equally on both sides of political spectrum, and it seems only to be gaining momentum. A key reason, says Financial Times columnist Rana Foroohar, is the fact that Wall Street is no longer supporting Main Street businesses that create the jobs for the middle and working class. She draws on in-depth reporting and interviews at the highest rungs of business and government to show how the “financialization of America”—the phenomenon by which finance and its way of thinking have come to dominate every corner of business—is threatening the American Dream. Now updated with new material explaining how our corrupted financial sys­tem propelled Donald Trump to power, Makers and Takers explores the confluence of forces that has led American businesses to favor balance-sheet engineering over the actual kind, greed over growth, and short-term profits over putting people to work. From the cozy relationship between Wall Street and Washington, to a tax code designed to benefit wealthy individuals and corporations, to forty years of bad policy decisions, she shows why so many Americans have lost trust in the sys­tem, and why it matters urgently to us all. Through colorful stories of both “Takers,” those stifling job creation while lining their own pockets, and “Makers,” businesses serving the real economy, Foroohar shows how we can reverse these trends for a better path forward.

Taking the findings of behavioral economics from the cocktail party to the boardroom. Experimental economist Kay-Yut Chen leads an economics lab at Hewlett- Packard-the first of its kind at any company. His groundbreaking research into human behavior has turned into tangible results for HP. He has saved the company millions of dollars, simply by explaining why people really do the things they do. MoneyLab offers practical lessons being put to use right now at HP and other leading companies. It explains, for instance, how to: ? Use incentives to influence employees, suppliers, and buyers ? Determine whom to trust, and how much ? Reduce the negative effects of irrational behavior by noticing patterns that don't seem logical ? Take advantage of the human tendency to game the system In the spirit of Predictably Irrational, but with a more practical approach, Chen shows how to translate the findings of behavioral economics into concrete actions to achieve new levels of success.

To face the future, Canada needs more Canadians. But why and how many? Canada’s population has always grown slowly, when it has grown at all. That wasn’t by accident. For centuries before Confederation and a century after, colonial economic policies and an inward-facing world view isolated this country, attracting few of the people and building few of the institutions needed to sustain a sovereign nation. In fact, during most years before 1967, a greater number of people fled Canada than immigrated to it. Canada’s growth has faltered and left us underpopulated ever since. At Canada’s 150th anniversary, a more open, pluralist and international vision has largely overturned that colonial mindset and become consensus across the country and its major political parties. But that consensus is ever fragile. Our small population continues to hamper our competitive clout, our ability to act independently in an increasingly unstable world, and our capacity to build the resources we need to make our future viable. In Maximum Canada, a bold and detailed vision for Canada’s future, award-winning author and Globe and Mail columnist Doug Saunders proposes a most audacious way forward: to avoid global obscurity and create lasting prosperity, to build equality and reconciliation of indigenous and regional divides, and to ensure economic and ecological sustainability, Canada needs to triple its population.

Praise for Free Cash Flow and Shareholder Yield "Free Cash Flow and Shareholder Yield provides a provocative solution to the profound paradigm shift now redefining valuation standards for markets around the globe. In commonsense terms, it defines how the investment community has begun the journey of shifting to the more dependable, robust metric of free cash flow." —Rob Brown, Chief Investment Officer, Genworth Financial Asset Management, Inc. This graph tells a singularly compelling story of the changing order of the drivers of total equity returns. In Free Cash Flow and Shareholder Yield, you will learn how this story is the key to informed investing in an evolving global marketplace.

In this "lively and entertaining" history of ideas (Liaquat Ahamed, The New Yorker), New York Times editorial writer Binyamin Appelbaum tells the story of the people who sparked four decades of economic revolution. Before the 1960s, American politicians had never paid much attention to economists. But as the post-World War II boom began to sputter, economists gained influence and power. In The Economists' Hour, Binyamin Appelbaum traces the rise of the economists, first in the United States and then around the globe, as their ideas reshaped the modern world, curbing government, unleashing corporations and hastening globalization. Some leading figures are relatively well-known, such as Milton Friedman, the elfin libertarian who had a greater influence on American life than any other economist of his generation, and Arthur Laffer, who sketched a curve on a cocktail napkin that helped to make tax cuts a staple of conservative economic policy. Others stayed out of the limelight, but left a lasting impact on modern life: Walter Oi, a blind economist who dictated to his wife and assistants some of the calculations that persuaded President Nixon to end military conscription; Alfred Kahn, who deregulated air travel and rejoiced in the crowded cabins on commercial flights as the proof of his success; and Thomas Schelling, who put a dollar value on human life. Their fundamental belief? That government should stop trying to manage the economy.Their guiding principle? That markets would deliver steady growth, and ensure that all Americans shared in the benefits. But the Economists' Hour failed to deliver on its promise of broad prosperity. And the single-minded embrace of markets has come at the expense of economic equality, the health of liberal democracy, and future generations. Timely, engaging and expertly researched, The Economists' Hour is a reckoning -- and a call for people to rewrite the rules of the market. A Wall Street Journal Business BestsellerWinner of the Porchlight Business Book Award in Narrative & Biography

"I had the good fortune to grow up in a wonderful area of Jerusalem, surrounded by a diverse range of people: Rabbi Meizel, the communist Sala Marcel, my widowed Aunt Hannah, and the intellectual Yaacovson. As far as I'm concerned, the opinion of such people is just as authoritative for making social and economic decisions as the opinion of an expert using a model." Part memoir, part crash-course in economic theory, this deeply engaging book by one of the world's foremost economists looks at economic ideas through a personal lens. Together with an introduction to some of the central concepts in modern economic thought, Ariel Rubinstein offers some powerful and entertaining reflections on his childhood, family and career. In doing so, he challenges many of the central tenets of game theory, and sheds light on the role economics can play in society at large. Economic Fables is as thought-provoking for seasoned economists as it is enlightening for newcomers to the field.