Foresight In Action
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Foresight in Action
Author | : Marjolein van Asselt,Susan van 't Klooster |
Publsiher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 193 |
Release | : 2012-06-25 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9781136536984 |
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Assessing the future is vital in informing public policy decisions. One of the most widespread approaches is the development of scenarios, which are alternative hypothetical futures. Research has indicated, however, that the reality of how professionals go about employing scenarios is often starkly at odds with the theory - a finding that has important ramifications for how the resulting images of the future should be interpreted. It also shows the need for rewriting and updating theory. This book, based on an intensive five year study of how experts actually go about assessing the future, provides a groundbreaking examination of foresighting in action. Obtained via ethnographic techniques, the results lay bare for the first time the real processes by which scenarios are made. It is also the first book to examine foresighting for public policy, which is so often overlooked in favour of business practice. From handling of discontinuity to historical determinism, the analysis reveals and explains why foresight is difficult and what the major pitfalls are. Each chapter ends with a toolkit of recommendations for practice. The book aims to help readers to reflect on their own practices of public-oriented foresight and thus to foster a deeper understanding of the key principles and challenges. Ultimately, this will lead to better informed decision making.
Foresight in Action
Author | : Marjolein van Asselt,Susan van 't Klooster |
Publsiher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 194 |
Release | : 2012-06-25 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9781136536977 |
Download Foresight in Action Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Assessing the future is vital in informing public policy decisions. One of the most widespread approaches is the development of scenarios, which are alternative hypothetical futures. Research has indicated, however, that the reality of how professionals go about employing scenarios is often starkly at odds with the theory - a finding that has important ramifications for how the resulting images of the future should be interpreted. It also shows the need for rewriting and updating theory. This book, based on an intensive five year study of how experts actually go about assessing the future, provides a groundbreaking examination of foresighting in action. Obtained via ethnographic techniques, the results lay bare for the first time the real processes by which scenarios are made. It is also the first book to examine foresighting for public policy, which is so often overlooked in favour of business practice. From handling of discontinuity to historical determinism, the analysis reveals and explains why foresight is difficult and what the major pitfalls are. Each chapter ends with a toolkit of recommendations for practice. The book aims to help readers to reflect on their own practices of public-oriented foresight and thus to foster a deeper understanding of the key principles and challenges. Ultimately, this will lead to better informed decision making.
Foresight in Action
Author | : Marjolein Van Asselt,Susan Van 't Klooster |
Publsiher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 135 |
Release | : 2015-06-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1138866997 |
Download Foresight in Action Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Assessing the future is vital in informing public policy decisions. One of the most widespread approaches is the development of scenarios, which are alternative hypothetical futures. Research has indicated, however, that the reality of how professionals go about employing scenarios is often starkly at odds with the theory - a finding that has important ramifications for how the resulting images of the future should be interpreted. It also shows the need for rewriting and updating theory. This book, based on an intensive five year study of how experts actually go about assessing the future, provides a groundbreaking examination of foresighting in action. Obtained via ethnographic techniques, the results lay bare for the first time the real processes by which scenarios are made. It is also the first book to examine foresighting for public policy, which is so often overlooked in favour of business practice. From handling of discontinuity to historical determinism, the analysis reveals and explains why foresight is difficult and what the major pitfalls are. Each chapter ends with a toolkit of recommendations for practice. The book aims to help readers to reflect on their own practices of public-oriented foresight and thus to foster a deeper understanding of the key principles and challenges. Ultimately, this will lead to better informed decision making.
Learning from Tomorrow
Author | : Bart Édes |
Publsiher | : John Hunt Publishing |
Total Pages | : 95 |
Release | : 2021-03-26 |
Genre | : Social Science |
ISBN | : 9781789047646 |
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COVID-19 wrecked the plans and strategies of organizations everywhere, while injecting greater uncertainty into a world already undergoing disruptive social and technological change. Strategic Foresight can help us navigate through the recovery and beyond. Strategic Foresight is a systematic, intelligence-gathering, vision-building process that helps us manage uncertainty by discerning plausible alternative futures and applying the insights to present-day planning. It is ideally suited to a world upended by the pandemic and rapid transformations in the way we live, work and interact. Using approachable language and a multitude of examples, Learning from Tomorrow shows how Strategic Foresight broadens our perspectives, exposes opportunities and risks, and opens our minds to innovation in a post-pandemic world. It is essential reading for organizational leaders and those responsible for developing strategies, scenarios, policies and plans.
Strategic Foresight
Author | : Patricia Lustig |
Publsiher | : Triarchy Press |
Total Pages | : 188 |
Release | : 2015-07-14 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9781909470682 |
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This is a practical (field) guide to foresight and foresight tools for leaders in business, the public sector and NGOs, to aid their practice in strategy, decision making and change.
Strategic Foresight
Author | : A. Marcus |
Publsiher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 209 |
Release | : 2016-04-30 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780230622654 |
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This book provides students and line managers in organizations with the means to create better scenarios and to use them to create winning business strategies. The book covers scenarios such as: economic outlooks; political environments; acquisitions; downsizing, and more.
Thinking about the Future
Author | : Hines Andy,Bishop Peter |
Publsiher | : Unknown |
Total Pages | : 448 |
Release | : 2015-10-10 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0996773401 |
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Thinking about the Future distills the expertise of three dozen senior foresight professionals into a set of essential guidelines for carrying out successful strategic foresight. Presented in a highly scannable yet personable style, each guideline includes an explanation and rationale, key steps, a case example, and resources for further study.
Foresight for Science Technology and Innovation
Author | : Ian Miles,Ozcan Saritas,Alexander Sokolov |
Publsiher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 270 |
Release | : 2016-08-29 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 9783319325743 |
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Decision-makers at all levels are being confronted with novel complexities and uncertainties and face long-term challenges which require foresight about long-term future prospects, assumptions, and strategies. This book explores how foresight studies can be systematically undertaken and used in this context. It explicates why and how methods like horizon scanning, scenario planning, and roadmapping should be applied when dealing with high levels of uncertainty. The scope of the book moves beyond “narrow” technology foresight, towards addressing systemic interrelations between social, technological, economic, environmental, and political systems. Applications of foresight tools to such fields as energy, cities, health, transportation, education, and sustainability are considered as well as enabling technologies including nano-, bio-, and information technologies and cognitive sciences. The approaches will be illustrated with specific actual cases.