Non Homogeneous Markov Chains And Systems

Non-Homogeneous Markov Chains and Systems: Theory and Applications fulfills two principal goals. It is devoted to the study of non-homogeneous Markov chains in the first part, and to the evolution of the theory and applications of non-homogeneous Markov systems (populations) in the second. The book is self-contained, requiring a moderate background in basic probability theory and linear algebra, common to most undergraduate programs in mathematics, statistics, and applied probability. There are some advanced parts, which need measure theory and other advanced mathematics, but the readers are alerted to these so they may focus on the basic results. Features A broad and accessible overview of non-homogeneous Markov chains and systems Fills a significant gap in the current literature A good balance of theory and applications, with advanced mathematical details separated from the main results Many illustrative examples of potential applications from a variety of fields Suitable for use as a course text for postgraduate students of applied probability, or for self-study Potential applications included could lead to other quantitative areas The book is primarily aimed at postgraduate students, researchers, and practitioners in applied probability and statistics, and the presentation has been planned and structured in a way to provide flexibility in topic selection so that the text can be adapted to meet the demands of different course outlines. The text could be used to teach a course to students studying applied probability at a postgraduate level or for self-study. It includes many illustrative examples of potential applications, in order to be useful to researchers from a variety of fields.

Non-Homogeneous Markov Chains and Systems: Theory and Applications fulfils two principal goals. It is devoted to the study of non-homogeneous Markov chains in the first part, and to the evolution of the theory and applications of non-homogeneous Markov systems (populations) in the second. The book is self-contained, requiring a moderate background in basic probability theory and linear algebra, common to most undergraduate programs in mathematics, statistics, and applied probability. There are some advanced parts, which need measure theory and other advanced mathematics, but the reader is alerted to these so they may focus on the basic results. Features: A broad and accessible overview of non-homogeneous Markov chains and systems Fills a significant gap in the current literature A good balance of theory and applications, with advanced mathematical details separated from the main results Many illustrative examples of potential applications from a variety of fields Suitable for use as a course text for postgraduate students of applied probability, or for self-study Potential applications included could open it up to other quantitative areas The book is primarily aimed at postgraduate students, researchers and practitioners in applied probability and statistics, and the presentation has been planned and structured in a way to provide flexibility in topic selection so that the text can be adapted to meet the demands of different course outlines. The book could be used to teach a course to students studying applied probability at a postgraduate level, or for self-study. It includes many illustrative examples of potential applications, so as to be useful to researchers from a variety of fields.

Primarily an introduction to the theory of stochastic processes at the undergraduate or beginning graduate level, the primary objective of this book is to initiate students in the art of stochastic modelling. However it is motivated by significant applications and progressively brings the student to the borders of contemporary research. Examples are from a wide range of domains, including operations research and electrical engineering. Researchers and students in these areas as well as in physics, biology and the social sciences will find this book of interest.

This Springer brief addresses the challenges encountered in the study of the optimization of time-nonhomogeneous Markov chains. It develops new insights and new methodologies for systems in which concepts such as stationarity, ergodicity, periodicity and connectivity do not apply. This brief introduces the novel concept of confluencity and applies a relative optimization approach. It develops a comprehensive theory for optimization of the long-run average of time-nonhomogeneous Markov chains. The book shows that confluencity is the most fundamental concept in optimization, and that relative optimization is more suitable for treating the systems under consideration than standard ideas of dynamic programming. Using confluencity and relative optimization, the author classifies states as confluent or branching and shows how the under-selectivity issue of the long-run average can be easily addressed, multi-class optimization implemented, and Nth biases and Blackwell optimality conditions derived. These results are presented in a book for the first time and so may enhance the understanding of optimization and motivate new research ideas in the area.

This book extends the local central limit theorem to Markov chains whose state spaces and transition probabilities are allowed to change in time. Such chains are used to model Markovian systems depending on external time-dependent parameters. The book develops a new general theory of local limit theorems for additive functionals of Markov chains, in the regimes of local, moderate, and large deviations, and provides nearly optimal conditions for the classical expansions, as well as asymptotic corrections when these conditions fail. Applications include local limit theorems for independent but not identically distributed random variables, Markov chains in random environments, and time-dependent perturbations of homogeneous Markov chains. The inclusion of appendices with background material, numerous examples, and an account of the historical background of the subject make this self-contained book accessible to graduate students. It will also be useful for researchers in probability and ergodic theory who are interested in asymptotic behaviors, Markov chains in random environments, random dynamical systems and non-stationary systems.

Learn about the techniques used for evaluating the reliability and availability of engineered systems with this comprehensive guide.

Markov processes play an important role in the study of probability theory. Homogeneous denumerable Markov processes are among the main topics in the theory and have a wide range of application in various fields of science and technology (for example, in physics, cybernetics, queuing theory and dynamical programming). This book is a detailed presentation and summary of the research results obtained by the authors in recent years. Most of the results are published for the first time. Two new methods are given: one is the minimal nonnegative solution, the second the limit transition method. With the help of these two methods, the authors solve many important problems in the framework of denumerable Markov processes.

In this study extending classical Markov chain theory to handle fluctuating transition matrices, the author develops a theory of Markov set-chains and provides numerous examples showing how that theory can be applied. Chapters are concluded with a discussion of related research. Readers who can benefit from this monograph are those interested in, or involved with, systems whose data is imprecise or that fluctuate with time. A background equivalent to a course in linear algebra and one in probability theory should be sufficient.