Nonrecursive Causal Models

The author defines the concept of identification and explains what 'goes wrong' with some nonrecursive models to make them nonidentified. He provides various tests which can be used to determine whether a nonrecursive model is identified, and reviews common techniques for estimating the parameters of an identified model.

Where an assumption of unidirectionality in causal effects is unrealistic, 'recursive' models cannot be used, and more complex 'nonrecursive' models are necessary. Unfortunately, many nonrecursive models (unlike recursive models) are 'unidentified', which makes meaningful parameter estimation impossible. Even when they are identified, it would be inappropriate to use OLS regression techniques (appropriate for recursive models) for the purpose of estimation. The concept of identification, and the factors that lead to it are explained; and various tests for determination are provided. Illustrations from a variety of social science disciplines are used throughout the book.

Nonrecursive Models is a clear and concise introduction to the estimation and assessment of nonrecursive simultaneous equation models. This unique monograph gives practical advice on the specification and identification of simultaneous equation models, how to assess the quality of the estimates, and how to correctly interpret results.

This comprehensive handbook covers a wide variety of quantitative methods used for research in public administration, public policy, and nonprofit management, including theory-building and testing, increasing the readers awareness and command of analytical tools critical to the resolution of complex problems. Providing bibliographic citations and over 370 tables, equations, and drawings, the book compares the function of quantitative techniques in past and present public administration literature and practices, furnishes information for visualizing, planning, and implementing research projects, and explores potential applications of quantitative public administration.

Retains complete coverage of the first edition, while amplifying key areas such as direct/indirect effects, standardized/unstandardized variables, multicollinie-arity, and nonrecursive modeling.

With the availability of software programs, such as LISREL, EQS, and AMOS, modelling (SEM) techniques have become a popular tool for formalized presentation of the hypothesized relationships underlying correlational research and test for the plausibility of the hypothesizing for a particular data set. However, the popularity of these techniques has often led to misunderstandings of them and even their misuse, particularly by students exposed to them for the first time. Through the use of careful narrative explanation, Maruyama's text describes the logic underlying SEM approaches, describes how SEM approaches relate to techniques like regression and factor analysis, analyzes the strengths and shortcomings of SEM as compared to alternative methodologies, and explores the various methodologies for analyzing structural equation data. In addition, Maruyama provides carefully constructed exercises both within and at the end of chapters.

Causal models are formal theories stating the relationships between precisely defined variables, and have become an indispensable tool of the social scientist. This collection of articles is a course book on the causal modeling approach to theory construction and data analysis. H. M. Blalock, Jr. summarizes the then-current developments in causal model utilization in sociology, political science, economics, and other disciplines. This book provides a comprehensive multidisciplinary picture of the work on causal models. It seeks to address the problem of measurement in the social sciences and to link theory and research through the development of causal models.Organized into five sections (Simple Recursive Models, Path Analysis, Simultaneous Equations Techniques, The Causal Approach to Measurement Error, and Other Complications), this volume contains twenty-seven articles (eight of which were specially commissioned). Each section begins with an introduction explaining the concepts to be covered in the section and links them to the larger subject. It provides a general overview of the theory and application of causal modeling.Blalock argues for the development of theoretical models that can be operationalized and provide verifiable predictions. Many of the discussions of this subject that occur in other literature are too technical for most social scientists and other scholars who lack a strong background in mathematics. This book attempts to integrate a few of the less technical papers written by econometricians such as Koopmans, Wold, Strotz, and Fisher with discussions of causal approaches in the social and biological sciences. This classic text by Blalock is a valuable source of material for those interested in the issue of measurement in the social sciences and the construction of mathematical models.

Causal models are formal theories stating the relationships between precisely defined variables, and have become an indispensable tool of the social scientist. This collection of articles is a course book on the causal modeling approach to theory construction and data analysis. H. M. Blalock, Jr. summarizes the then-current developments in causal model utilization in sociology, political science, economics, and other disciplines. This book provides a comprehensive multidisciplinary picture of the work on causal models. It seeks to address the problem of measurement in the social sciences and to link theory and research through the development of causal models.Organized into five sections (Simple Recursive Models, Path Analysis, Simultaneous Equations Techniques, The Causal Approach to Measurement Error, and Other Complications), this volume contains twenty-seven articles (eight of which were specially commissioned). Each section begins with an introduction explaining the concepts to be covered in the section and links them to the larger subject. It provides a general overview of the theory and application of causal modeling.Blalock argues for the development of theoretical models that can be operationalized and provide verifiable predictions. Many of the discussions of this subject that occur in other literature are too technical for most social scientists and other scholars who lack a strong background in mathematics. This book attempts to integrate a few of the less technical papers written by econometricians such as Koopmans, Wold, Strotz, and Fisher with discussions of causal approaches in the social and biological sciences. This classic text by Blalock is a valuable source of material for those interested in the issue of measurement in the social sciences and the construction of mathematical models.