Representing Uncertain Knowledge

The representation of uncertainty is a central issue in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and is being addressed in many different ways. Each approach has its proponents, and each has had its detractors. However, there is now an in creasing move towards the belief that an eclectic approach is required to represent and reason under the many facets of uncertainty. We believe that the time is ripe for a wide ranging, yet accessible, survey of the main for malisms. In this book, we offer a broad perspective on uncertainty and approach es to managing uncertainty. Rather than provide a daunting mass of techni cal detail, we have focused on the foundations and intuitions behind the various schools. The aim has been to present in one volume an overview of the major issues and decisions to be made in representing uncertain knowl edge. We identify the central role of managing uncertainty to AI and Expert Systems, and provide a comprehensive introduction to the different aspects of uncertainty. We then describe the rationales, advantages and limitations of the major approaches that have been taken, using illustrative examples. The book ends with a review of the lessons learned and current research di rections in the field. The intended readership will include researchers and practitioners in volved in the design and implementation of Decision Support Systems, Ex pert Systems, other Knowledge-Based Systems and in Cognitive Science.

Data analysis is of upmost importance in the mining of big data, where knowledge discovery and inference are the basis for intelligent systems to support the real world applications. However, the process involves knowledge acquisition, representation, inference and data, Bayesian network (BN) is the key technology plays a key role in knowledge representation, in order to pave way to cope with incomplete, fuzzy data to solve the real-life problems. This book presents Bayesian network as a technology to support data-intensive and incremental learning in knowledge discovery, inference and data fusion in uncertain environment. Contents: IntroductionData-Intensive Learning of Uncertain KnowledgeData-Intensive Inferences of Large-Scale Bayesian NetworksUncertain Knowledge Representation and Inference for Lineage Processing over Uncertain DataUncertain Knowledge Representation and Inference for Tracing Errors in Uncertain DataFusing Uncertain Knowledge in Time-Series DataSummary Readership: Graduate students, researchers and professionals in the field of artificial intelligence/machine learning and information sciences, especially in databases. Keywords: Uncertain Knowledge;Bayesian Network;Data-Intensive Computing;Lineage;Inference;FusionReview: Key Features: Upon the preliminaries of BN (Pearl, 1988), this book establishes the connection between massive/uncertain/dynamic data management and uncertainty in artificial intelligence, specifically taking BN as the knowledge framework; different from the publications (Pearl, 1988; Russel & Norvig, 2010), this book concerns uncertain knowledge representation and corresponding inferences from the data-driven perspective, where we focus on the construction of knowledge models with respect to specific applications; different from the publication (Han, 2011), this book focuses on the critical problem of knowledge engineering specially taking BN as the framework, instead of the previously-unknown patterns by mining dataThis book presents the theoretic conclusions, algorithmic strategies, running examples and empirical studies while emphasizing the soundness in both theoretic/semantic and executive/applicable perspectives of the methods for discovery and fusion of uncertain knowledge in dataThis book is appropriately a reference book for researchers in the fields of massive data analysis, artificial intelligence and knowledge engineering. As well, this book can be also adopted as textbook for graduate students who major in data mining and knowledge discovery, or intelligent data analysis etc.

Formal ways of representing uncertainty and various logics for reasoning about it; updated with new material on weighted probability measures, complexity-theoretic considerations, and other topics. In order to deal with uncertainty intelligently, we need to be able to represent it and reason about it. In this book, Joseph Halpern examines formal ways of representing uncertainty and considers various logics for reasoning about it. While the ideas presented are formalized in terms of definitions and theorems, the emphasis is on the philosophy of representing and reasoning about uncertainty. Halpern surveys possible formal systems for representing uncertainty, including probability measures, possibility measures, and plausibility measures; considers the updating of beliefs based on changing information and the relation to Bayes' theorem; and discusses qualitative, quantitative, and plausibilistic Bayesian networks. This second edition has been updated to reflect Halpern's recent research. New material includes a consideration of weighted probability measures and how they can be used in decision making; analyses of the Doomsday argument and the Sleeping Beauty problem; modeling games with imperfect recall using the runs-and-systems approach; a discussion of complexity-theoretic considerations; the application of first-order conditional logic to security. Reasoning about Uncertainty is accessible and relevant to researchers and students in many fields, including computer science, artificial intelligence, economics (particularly game theory), mathematics, philosophy, and statistics.

Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence: Proceedings of the Eighth Conference (1992) covers the papers presented at the Eighth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, held at Stanford University on July 17-19, 1992. The book focuses on the processes, methodologies, technologies, and approaches involved in artificial intelligence. The selection first offers information on Relative Evidential Support (RES), modal logics for qualitative possibility and beliefs, and optimizing causal orderings for generating DAGs from data. Discussions focus on reversal, swap, and unclique operators, modal representation of possibility, and beliefs and conditionals. The text then examines structural controllability and observability in influence diagrams, lattice-based graded logic, and dynamic network models for forecasting. The manuscript takes a look at reformulating inference problems through selective conditioning, entropy and belief networks, parallelizing probabilistic inference, and a symbolic approach to reasoning with linguistic quantifiers. The text also ponders on sidestepping the triangulation problem in Bayesian net computations; exploring localization in Bayesian networks for large expert systems; and expressing relational and temporal knowledge in visual probabilistic networks. The selection is a valuable reference for researchers interested in artificial intelligence.

AI is an emerging discipline of computer science. It deals with the concepts and methodologies required for computer to perform an intelligent activity. The spectrum of computer science is very wide and it enables the computer to handle almost every activity, which human beings could. It deals with defining the basic problem from viewpoint of solving it through computer, finding out the total possibilities of solution, representing the problem from computational orientation, selecting data structures, finding the solution through searching the goal in search space dealing the real world uncertain situations etc. It also develops the techniques for learning and understanding, which make the computer able to exhibit an intelligent behavior. The list is exhaustive and is applied now a days in almost every field of technology. This book presents almost all the components of AI like problem solving, search techniques, knowledge concepts, expert system and many more in a very simple language. One of the unique features of this book is inclusion of number of solved examples; in between the chapters and also at the end of many chapters. Real life examples have been discussed to make the reader conversant with the intricate phenomenon of computer science in general, and artificial intelligence in particular. The book is primarily developed for undergraduate and postgraduate engineering students.

We are happy to present the first volume of the Handbook of Defeasible Reasoning and Uncertainty Management Systems. Uncertainty pervades the real world and must therefore be addressed by every system that attempts to represent reality. The representation of uncertainty is a ma jor concern of philosophers, logicians, artificial intelligence researchers and com puter sciencists, psychologists, statisticians, economists and engineers. The present Handbook volumes provide frontline coverage of this area. This Handbook was produced in the style of previous handbook series like the Handbook of Philosoph ical Logic, the Handbook of Logic in Computer Science, the Handbook of Logic in Artificial Intelligence and Logic Programming, and can be seen as a companion to them in covering the wide applications of logic and reasoning. We hope it will answer the needs for adequate representations of uncertainty. This Handbook series grew out of the ESPRIT Basic Research Project DRUMS II, where the acronym is made out of the Handbook series title. This project was financially supported by the European Union and regroups 20 major European research teams working in the general domain of uncertainty. As a fringe benefit of the DRUMS project, the research community was able to create this Hand book series, relying on the DRUMS participants as the core of the authors for the Handbook together with external international experts.

"This book lays the foundations for understanding the concepts and technologies behind the Semantic Web"--Provided by publisher.

Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence contains the proceedings of the Ninth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence held at the Catholic University of America in Washington, DC, on July 9-11, 1993. The papers focus on methods of reasoning and decision making under uncertainty as applied to problems in artificial intelligence (AI) and cover topics ranging from knowledge acquisition and automated model construction to learning, planning, temporal reasoning, and machine vision. Comprised of 66 chapters, this book begins with a discussion on causality in Bayesian belief networks before turning to a decision theoretic account of conditional ought statements that rectifies glaring deficiencies in classical deontic logic and forms a sound basis for qualitative decision theory. Subsequent chapters explore trade-offs in constructing and evaluating temporal influence diagrams; normative engineering risk management systems; additive belief-network models; and sensitivity analysis for probability assessments in Bayesian networks. Automated model construction and learning as well as algorithms for inference and decision making are also considered. This monograph will be of interest to both students and practitioners in the fields of AI and computer science.