The Use Of Technical And Fundamental Analysis In The Stock Market In Emerging And Developed Economies

This book gives a scientific and systematic approach to trading in developing stock markets. As professional traders do not trade purely on the basis of economic fundamentals, but also take into account market movements from other factors, knowledge of technical analysis is important to anyone who would participate successfully in the stock market.

This eye-opening book brings together today's most relied upon tools of market analysis. Michael E.S. Gayed clearly explains how this powerful combination of major schools of thought of market analysis can help investors dramatically improve their judgment on likely market performance and spot important trends, thereby making successful investment decisions. Intermarket Analysis and Investing begins with an overview of investment analysis that examines types of risk and portfolio structuring. Then it moves on to the three prominent schools of thought in market analysis with discussions of: - Economic analysis, which is primarily concerned with the state of business, and anticipates phases of economic expansion and contraction by focusing on economic indicators - Fundamental analysis, the most widely followed and practiced form of analysis, it looks at the accounting and financial position of companies in an attempt to evaluate intrinsic worth and true stock value - Technical analysis or the market-timing school, practiced by "believers in the supremacy of trend analysis," and followers of the ticker tape. It is primarily concerned with the dynamics behind the fluctuation in the price of a stock This book also examines the positive aspects and pitfalls to contrarian investing, top-down and bottom-up market approaches, comparative market analysis, and common-sense trend analysis. By integrating economic, fundamental, and technical quantitative analysis into a sensible working framework, Intermarket Analysis and Investing exposes the inherent short-comings of relying too heavily or exclusively on any single approach. Each school of stock market analysis is thoroughly examined so that the reader can understand each approach and how it interacts with the others. Part II stresses the economic by analyzing the most important aspects of the business cycle, the Fed's role in managing the balance of inflation and unemployment, and factors investors should watch to tame market risk and minimize loss during downtrends. It is here that the importance of economic indicators is emphasized, with an in-depth discussion of the 11 leading indicators that monitor the economy and help the investor anticipate long-term business trends, the four coincident indicators that help verify the predictability of the leading indicators, and the lagging indicators that help spot emerging structural trends. Part III discusses the use of fundamental analysis, which compares the growth and finances of different securities and industry groups. It shows how earnings, sales, book value, P/E multiples, leverage, liquidity, and/or profitability of companies are used to reveal the worth of a security as an investment. The commodities market and the effect of globalization of securities markets are also examined. Part IV shows how quantitative market analysis aids active investors in determining the short-or immediate-term direction of stocks. Intermarket Analysis and Investing shows how to improve investment decisions by integrating the best features of fundamental analysis and some well-known market timing techniques described and illustrated in this section. The final section of the book provides insightful investment strategies that are based on the intermarket relationships previously discussed. By integrating the methods described in detail in this book, investors stand a much better chance of profiting from market opportunities and of achieving their objectives.

This paper examines the efficiency of the Stock Exchange of Singapore and the relationship between the stock market and the overall economy. Using a wide range of methods for testing market efficiency, the paper establishes that the Singapore stock market is both “weakly” and “semi-strongly” efficient in asset-pricing terms but not “strongly” efficient. Granger causality tests based on the efficiency test results indicate that developments in the stock market appear to be systematically related to the overall economy in Singapore and can thus serve as a leading indicator of its intertemporal behavior.

John J. Murphy has now updated his landmark bestseller Technical Analysis of the Futures Markets, to include all of the financial markets. This outstanding reference has already taught thousands of traders the concepts of technical analysis and their application in the futures and stock markets. Covering the latest developments in computer technology, technical tools, and indicators, the second edition features new material on candlestick charting, intermarket relationships, stocks and stock rotation, plus state-of-the-art examples and figures. From how to read charts to understanding indicators and the crucial role technical analysis plays in investing, readers gain a thorough and accessible overview of the field of technical analysis, with a special emphasis on futures markets. Revised and expanded for the demands of today's financial world, this book is essential reading for anyone interested in tracking and analyzing market behavior.

One of the main reasons to name this book as Financial Management from an Emerging Market Perspective is to show the main differences of financial theory and practice in emerging markets other than the developed ones. Our many years of learning, teaching, and consulting experience have taught us that the theory of finance differs in developed and emerging markets. It is a well-known fact that emerging markets do not always share the same financial management problems with the developed ones. This book intends to show these differences, which could be traced to several characteristics unique to emerging markets, and these unique characteristics could generate a different view of finance theory in a different manner. As a consequence, different financial decisions, arrangements, institutions, and practices may evolve in emerging markets over time. The purpose of this book is to provide practitioners and academicians with a working knowledge of the different financial management applications and their use in an emerging market setting. Six main topics regarding the financial management applications in emerging markets are covered, and the context of these topics are "Capital Structure," "Market Efficiency and Market Models," "Merger and Acquisitions and Corporate Governance," "Working Capital Management," "Financial Economics and Digital Currency," and "Real Estate and Health Finance."

An essential guide to the most innovative technical trading tools and strategies available In today's investment arena, there is a growing demand to diversify investment strategies through numerous styles of contemporary market analysis, as well as a continuous search for increasing alpha. Paul Ciana, Bloomberg L.P.'s top liason to Technical Analysts worldwide, understands these challenges very well and that is why he has created New Frontiers in Technical Analysis. Paul, along with in-depth contributions from some of the worlds most accomplished market participants developed this reliable guide that contains some of the newest tools and strategies for analyzing today's markets. The methods discussed are based on the existing body of knowledge of technical analysis and have evolved to support, and appeal to technical, fundamental, and quantitative analysts alike. • It answers the question "What are other people using?" by quantifying the popularity of the universally accepted studies, and then explains how to use them • Includes thought provoking material on seasonality, sector rotation, and market distributions that can bolster portfolio performance • Presents ground-breaking tools and data visualizations that paint a vivid picture of the direction of trend by capitalizing on traditional indicators and eliminating many of their faults • And much more Engaging and informative, New Frontiers in Technical Analysis contains innovative insights that will sharpen your investments strategies and the way you view today's market.

Seminar paper from the year 2008 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1,0, University of Applied Sciences Essen, language: English, abstract: The price movements of stocks are the result of complex interdependencies due to a vast number of influencing factors - such as fundamental and psychological factors - are expressed in the expectations and the behavior of the stock market participants. To cope with this complexity and to derive an applicable asset strategy, analysts distinguish particularly between two dominant analysis methods in practice - the Fundamental and the Technical Analysis - which have recently been supplemented by the approach of Behavioral Finance. With reference to a strict interpretation of the theoretical assumptions of the Fundamental as well as the Technical Analysis these two concepts are mutually exclusive. As a result of this there are a vast number of analysts who either acknowledge the Fundamental Analysis while denying the Technical Analysis and vice versa. The Fundamentals criticize that the technical approach has a lack in academic foundation and is, therefore similar to a kind of reading tea leaves, whereas the Technicals are convinced that the Fundamental Analysis is not able to generate an advantage by analyzing the fundamental value drivers of a stock, because those are already reflected by the current market prices. In practice the Fundamental Analysis seems to have its weaknesses particularly during extreme market phases - e.g. during the New Economy bubble at the end of the nineties - in which the psychology of the market participants gains in impact. At the same time the fundamental aspects are seemingly neglected. Furthermore, the fundamental approach seems to have improvement capabilities particularly in terms of timing. Psychological aspects of the market participants are at least indirectly included within the Technical Analysis, which could be particularly used for timing decisions as well. N

A fresh approach to technical analysis utilizing a full view (multi-time frame) integrated analytical system. Has the bear market ended? Is the rebound lasting? Everybody wants an answer but nobody can provide one with a good degree of confidence. While fundamental analysis is notoriously weak when it comes to market timing decisions and price target forecasts, technical analysis is equally timid in providing any concrete answers to the above fundamentally important questions for market participants. No existing system has produced a firm answer with a respectable degree of conviction. This book will present a system to answer those questions with a high degree of confidence. Xin Xie is the Director for Institute of International Trade and Investment at the Upper Yangtze River Economic Research Center, Chongqing University of Business and Technology and PRC Ministry of Education. He has a PhD in Economics from Columbia University in New York and a Master of Arts Degree in Statistics at Zhongnan University of Finance in China. He has extensive experiences in banking and investment industries as Senior Economists and Strategists in Bank of America and UBS AG.