Differential Models And Neutral Systems For Controlling The Wealth Of Nations

This monograph derives from familiar economic principles the dynamics of national income, the interest rate, employment, the value of capital stock, prices, and the cumulative balance of payments. This is a Volterra neutral integrodifferential game of pursuit. The quarry control is government intervention in the form of taxation, control of money supply, tariffs, foreign credit, interest equalization tax, preferential trade agreements (which reduce trade barriers and enhance trade flows between nations), transportation and distance between trading partners. The pursuer controls include wages and productivity. The book provides conditions for controllability and then deduces how big government intervention (compared with private firms' contributions) should be to ensure the possibility of growth.The reader is assumed to be familiar with advanced calculus and to have a working knowledge of ordinary differential equations. The required theory of hereditary systems can be obtained from the book itself.

The book presents a careful mathematical study of Economic Cooperation and Competition among Nations. It appropriates the principles of Supply and Demand and of Rational Expectations to build the dynamic model of the Gross Domestic Products of two groups of nations which are linked up together. The first group consists of Nigeria, the US, the UK and China. The second group is made up of Egypt, the US, Jordan and Israel. The link connecting the four nations of each group is mirrored in the net export function which is broadened to include trade, debts and the inflow or the outflow of wealth from the competing and cooperating nations. This realistic models of the four interacting GDP's, a hereditary differential game of pursuit are validated with historical data from International Financial Statistic Year Book. The Mathematical model is then studied for controllability: from a current initial GDPs a better state can be attained using government and private strategies which are carefully identified. We use regression and differential equation methods to test whether the four countries are competing or cooperating. The consequences of competition or cooperation are explored. Cooperation can be realized and the growth of wealth assured because the system is controllable and we can increase the growth of GDP and then increase the coefficient of cooperation. The outcome may be unbounded growth of wealth for all concerned – the triumph of cooperation. With analogous simple examples the book shows that sufficiently cooperating systems grow unbounded and competing ones are either bounded at best, or become extinct in finite time. If competition is small, i.e., limited, or regulated the GDP's need not be extinct even after a long time. This results are in contrast with popular opinion which advocate competition over cooperation. The detailed policy implication of the cooperation analysis at one time or the other were advocated by Pope John Paul II, President Clinton and President Bush. The mathematical message is clear: the strategy of cooperation is the best way in an Interconnected World: Cooperation triumphs over competition. The same type of analysis allows the book to argue through modeling that prosperity, internal peace and harmony can flourish in Nigeria among the old three regions and the newer six geopolitical regions. The same is true for the four powerful states in the Middle East. Thus the author’s refreshing approach is the "scientific" treatment of cooperation and competition models of the gross-domestic product of two groups of nations – Nigeria, the USA, the UK, and China, and the USA, Egypt, Jordan and Israel. Attempts are made to provide "scientific" answers to broad national policies. It allows predictions of growth to be made with some degree of accuracy for up to 4 years. MATLAB and Maple programs in accompanied CD are provided. The author's individual nations economic models are cited. The dynamics are ordinary and hereditary games of pursuit also cited from the original earlier writings of the author are models of the economic state of each nation – a vector of six things – the gross domestic product (GDP) (y), interest rate R; employment (or unemployment) (L), value of capital stock (k), prices p(t), and therefore inflation and cumulative balance of payment (E). Each economic state is isolated except the impact of export function on aggregate demand. The main difference between this earlier contributions and this book is the link and its apparent policy implications and consequences. Key features:

Stability and Time-Optimal Control of Hereditary Systems is the mathematical foundation and theory required for studying in depth the stability and optimal control of systems whose history is taken into account. In this edition, the economic application is enlarged, and explored in some depth. The application holds out the hope that full employment and high income growth will be compatible with low prices and low inflation, provided that the control matrix has full rank, i.e., the existing controls are fully effectively used. The book concludes with a new appendix containing complete programs, data, graphs and quantitative results for the US economy.

Stability and Time-Optimal Control of Hereditary Systems is the mathematical foundation and theory required for studying in depth the stability and optimal control of systems whose history is taken into account. In this edition, the economic application is enlarged, and explored in some depth. The application holds out the hope that full employment and high income growth will be compatible with low prices and low inflation, provided that the control matrix has full rank, i.e., the existing controls are fully effectively used. The book concludes with a new appendix containing complete programs, data, graphs and quantitative results for the US economy.

This monograph, a sequel to the author's highly successfull A Mathematical Treatment of Economic Cooperation and Competition Among Nations: With Nigeria, USA, UK, China and Middle East Examples (Academic Press, 2005), extends the study to all member states of the United Nations. It derives the equations of the key economic variables of gross domestic product, interest rate, employment value of capital stock prices (inflation) and cumulative balance of payment. The derivation is based on the differential market principle of supply and demand and on the rational expectation principle. The models are validated using economic time series of each country and MATLAB programs. The emerging dynamics is a differential game of pursuit which is converted to a hereditary control system for a single nation. Following the same method we derive the full hereditary economic model of all members of the United Nations joined together by external trade, investment capital flow consumption employment and governments' economic intervention all mirrored by interacting gross domestic products. The system is validated with IMF and World Bank data.Studies are made on how to arrest economic recession and depression and promote economic growth and prosperity. Diffusion of wealth is also touched upon. Policies regarding economic stimulus, how to dam the decay of capital flow, as well as conditions to promote full employment are discussed. Examination is made to test for the global systems controllability the possibility of steering any current bad economic state to a state of growth of its GDP, low interest rate, full employment, good value of capital stock, low inflation and a positive value of the cumulative balance of payments. The book prescribes verifiable broad policies for all nations together to promote prosperity, diffusion of wealth and longevity. The book comes with full programs, output and identified equations which can be downloaded from the publishers' website. Detailed information is available inside the book.The book is a most valuable source of reference for world leaders, central bank directors, graduates and academic researchers in applied mathematics and applied economics concerned with the current problems and growth of the global economy.

This book provides an enduring response to modern economic problems and the consequent crises, dealing with the economic modelling of nations and the forecasting of economic growth. The main arguments embodied constitute the creation of jobs and the restoration of economic growth, using the implicit acceptance of analysis on differential models and neutral systems for controlling the wealth of nations.

This book deals with analytic problems related to some developments and generalizations of the Boltzmann equation toward the modeling and qualitative analysis of large systems that are of interest in applied sciences. These generalizations are documented in the various surveys edited by Bellomo and Pulvirenti with reference to models of granular media, traffic flow, mathematical biology, communication networks, and coagulation models. The first generalization dealt with refers to the averaged Boltzmann equation, which is obtained by suitable averaging of the distribution function of the field particles into the action domain of the test particle. This model is further developed to describe equations with dissipative collisions and a class of models that are of interest in mathematical biology. In this latter case the state of the particles is defined not only by a mechanical variable but also by a biological microscopic state.