Long Term Projection Of Social Expenditure In Korea

Chapter 1 Research Background, Objectives and Structure Ⅰ. Research background Ⅱ. Research objectives and structure Chapter 2 OECD SOCX Categories Ⅰ. OECD SOCX Ⅱ. Application of OECD SOCX to the 2013 Korean government budget Ⅲ. Limits of applying OECD SOCX classification to Korea, and future tasks Chapter 3 Expenditure Projection Method Ⅰ. Overview Ⅱ. Expenditure projection method Chapter 4 Social Insurance Fiscal Projections Ⅰ. National Pension Ⅱ. Civil service occupational pensions Ⅲ. National Health Insurance (NHI) and Long-term Care Insurance for the Elderly (LTCIE) Ⅳ. Unemployment Insurance (UI) and Workers Compensation Insurance (WCI) Chapter 5 Projections of Social Expenditure Finance by General Revenue (other than Social Insurance) Ⅰ. Programs for structured long-term projection model Ⅱ. Programs for simple projection model Chapter 6 Social Expenditure Projection Results and International Comparison Ⅰ. Social expenditure projection results Ⅱ. Social expenditure in major OECD countries Chapter 7 Conclusion and Policy Implications Ⅱ. Summary Ⅱ. Policy implications ￭References ￭Appendices [Appendix 1] Demographic and economic assumptions [Appendix 2] Application of the inflation rate as the rate of increase in general fiscal expenditure

CHAPTER 1 Background CHAPTER 2 Demographic Structure and Social Expenditure 1. Projections of social expenditure in Korea 2. Projections of social expenditure in OECD countries in relation to the population aging CHAPTER 3 Forecasting Social Expenditure Through Panel Analysis 1. Scope and method of estimation 2. Estimation results CHAPTER 4 Conclusion and Implications 1. Comparison of estimation of social expenditure in key OECD countries 2. Comparison of long-term social expenditure of Korea from panel analysis with component estimation method 3. Projection of the Total Tax Revenue References

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