Stock Market Prediction And Efficiency Analysis Using Recurrent Neural Network

Project Report from the year 2018 in the subject Computer Science - Technical Computer Science, , course: Computer Science, language: English, abstract: Modeling and Forecasting of the financial market have been an attractive topic to scholars and researchers from various academic fields. The financial market is an abstract concept where financial commodities such as stocks, bonds, and precious metals transactions happen between buyers and sellers. In the present scenario of the financial market world, especially in the stock market, forecasting the trend or the price of stocks using machine learning techniques and artificial neural networks are the most attractive issue to be investigated. As Giles explained, financial forecasting is an instance of signal processing problem which is difficult because of high noise, small sample size, non-stationary, and non-linearity. The noisy characteristics mean the incomplete information gap between past stock trading price and volume with a future price. The stock market is sensitive with the political and macroeconomic environment. However, these two kinds of information are too complex and unstable to gather. The above information that cannot be included in features are considered as noise. The sample size of financial data is determined by real-world transaction records. On one hand, a larger sample size refers a longer period of transaction records; on the other hand, large sample size increases the uncertainty of financial environment during the 2 sample period. In this project, we use stock data instead of daily data in order to reduce the probability of uncertain noise, and relatively increase the sample size within a certain period of time. By non-stationarity, one means that the distribution of stock data is various during time changing. Non-linearity implies that feature correlation of different individual stocks is various. Efficient Market Hypothesis was developed by Burton G. Malkiel in 1991.

This proceedings book includes the results from the International Conference on Deep Learning, Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, held in Malaviya National Institute of Technology, Jawahar Lal Nehru Marg, Malaviya Nagar, Jaipur, Rajasthan, 302017. The scope of this conference includes all subareas of AI, with broad coverage of traditional topics like robotics, statistical learning and deep learning techniques. However, the organizing committee expressly encouraged work on the applications of DL and AI in the important fields of computer/electronics/electrical/mechanical/chemical/textile engineering, health care and agriculture, business and social media and other relevant domains. The conference welcomed papers on the following (but not limited to) research topics: · Deep Learning: Applications of deep learning in various engineering streams, neural information processing systems, training schemes, GPU computation and paradigms, human–computer interaction, genetic algorithm, reinforcement learning, natural language processing, social computing, user customization, embedded computation, automotive design and bioinformatics · Artificial Intelligence: Automatic control, natural language processing, data mining and machine learning tools, fuzzy logic, heuristic optimization techniques (membrane-based separation, wastewater treatment, process control, etc.) and soft computing · Robotics: Automation and advanced control-based applications in engineering, neural networks on low powered devices, human–robot interaction and communication, cognitive, developmental and evolutionary robotics, fault diagnosis, virtual reality, space and underwater robotics, simulation and modelling, bio-inspired robotics, cable robots, cognitive robotics, collaborative robotics, collective and social robots and humanoid robots It was a collaborative platform for academic experts, researchers and corporate professionals for interacting their research in various domain of engineering like robotics, data acquisition, human–computer interaction, genetic algorithm, sentiment analysis as well as usage of AI and advanced computation in various industrial challenges based applications such as user customization, augmented reality, voice assistants, reactor design, product formulation/synthesis, embedded system design, membrane-based separation for protecting environment along with wastewater treatment, rheological properties estimation for Newtonian and non-Newtonian fluids used in micro-processing industries and fault detection.

Predicting stock market prices is a challenging task in the financial sector, where the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) posits the impossibility of accurate prediction due to the inherent uncertainty and complexity of stock price behaviour. However, introducing Machine Learning algorithms has shown the feasibility of stock market price forecasting. This study employs advanced Machine Learning models that can predict stock price movements with the right level of accuracy if the correct parameter tuning and appropriate predictor models are developed. In this research work, the LSTM model, which is a type of Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), time series forecasting Facebook Prophet algorithm and Random Forest Regressor model have been implemented on 10 Dhaka Stock Market (DSEbd) listed companies and six international giants for predicting the stock and forecasting the future price. The dataset of domestic companies is extracted from the graphical representation of the DSEbd website, and the international companies' dataset is imported from Yahoo Finance. In this experiment, Facebook Prophet demonstrates a long period of forecasting with reasonable accuracy, capturing daily, weekly, and yearly seasonality, including holiday effects for market trend analysis. Remarkably, the LSTM model exhibits significant accuracy, yielding the best results with evaluation metrics, including RMSE (0.35), MAPE (0.50%), and MAE (0.30). The experimental results underscore the efficiency of LSTM for future stock forecasting, observed over 15 days of upcoming market prices. A comparison of the results shows that the LSTM model efficiently forecasts the next day's closing price.

Although interest in machine learning has reached a high point, lofty expectations often scuttle projects before they get very far. How can machine learning—especially deep neural networks—make a real difference in your organization? This hands-on guide not only provides the most practical information available on the subject, but also helps you get started building efficient deep learning networks. Authors Adam Gibson and Josh Patterson provide theory on deep learning before introducing their open-source Deeplearning4j (DL4J) library for developing production-class workflows. Through real-world examples, you’ll learn methods and strategies for training deep network architectures and running deep learning workflows on Spark and Hadoop with DL4J. Dive into machine learning concepts in general, as well as deep learning in particular Understand how deep networks evolved from neural network fundamentals Explore the major deep network architectures, including Convolutional and Recurrent Learn how to map specific deep networks to the right problem Walk through the fundamentals of tuning general neural networks and specific deep network architectures Use vectorization techniques for different data types with DataVec, DL4J’s workflow tool Learn how to use DL4J natively on Spark and Hadoop

The text discusses recurrent neural networks for prediction and offers new insights into the learning algorithms, architectures, and stability of recurrent neural networks. It discusses important topics including recurrent and folding networks, long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, gated recurrent unit neural networks, language modeling, neural network model, activation function, feed-forward network, learning algorithm, neural turning machines, and approximation ability. The text discusses diverse applications in areas including air pollutant modeling and prediction, attractor discovery and chaos, ECG signal processing, and speech processing. Case studies are interspersed throughout the book for better understanding. FEATURES Covers computational analysis and understanding of natural languages Discusses applications of recurrent neural network in e-Healthcare Provides case studies in every chapter with respect to real-world scenarios Examines open issues with natural language, health care, multimedia (Audio/Video), transportation, stock market, and logistics The text is primarily written for undergraduate and graduate students, researchers, and industry professionals in the fields of electrical, electronics and communication, and computer engineering/information technology.

This book is about the various techniques involved in the stock price prediction. Even the people who are new to this book, after completion they can do stock trading individually with more profit.

The two-volume set LNCS 10350 and 10351 constitutes the thoroughly refereed proceedings of the 30th International Conference on Industrial, Engineering and Other Applications of Applied Intelligent Systems, IEA/AIE 2017, held in Arras, France, in June 2017. The 70 revised full papers presented together with 45 short papers and 3 invited talks were carefully reviewed and selected from 180 submissions. They are organized in topical sections: constraints, planning, and optimization; data mining and machine learning; sensors, signal processing, and data fusion; recommender systems; decision support systems; knowledge representation and reasoning; navigation, control, and autonome agents; sentiment analysis and social media; games, computer vision; and animation; uncertainty management; graphical models: from theory to applications; anomaly detection; agronomy and artificial intelligence; applications of argumentation; intelligent systems in healthcare and mhealth for health outcomes; and innovative applications of textual analysis based on AI.