Stock Market Price Prediction Using Machine Learning Techniques

Predicting stock market prices is a challenging task in the financial sector, where the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) posits the impossibility of accurate prediction due to the inherent uncertainty and complexity of stock price behaviour. However, introducing Machine Learning algorithms has shown the feasibility of stock market price forecasting. This study employs advanced Machine Learning models that can predict stock price movements with the right level of accuracy if the correct parameter tuning and appropriate predictor models are developed. In this research work, the LSTM model, which is a type of Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), time series forecasting Facebook Prophet algorithm and Random Forest Regressor model have been implemented on 10 Dhaka Stock Market (DSEbd) listed companies and six international giants for predicting the stock and forecasting the future price. The dataset of domestic companies is extracted from the graphical representation of the DSEbd website, and the international companies' dataset is imported from Yahoo Finance. In this experiment, Facebook Prophet demonstrates a long period of forecasting with reasonable accuracy, capturing daily, weekly, and yearly seasonality, including holiday effects for market trend analysis. Remarkably, the LSTM model exhibits significant accuracy, yielding the best results with evaluation metrics, including RMSE (0.35), MAPE (0.50%), and MAE (0.30). The experimental results underscore the efficiency of LSTM for future stock forecasting, observed over 15 days of upcoming market prices. A comparison of the results shows that the LSTM model efficiently forecasts the next day's closing price.

Practical, hands-on solutions in Python to overcome any problem in Machine Learning Key Features Master the advanced concepts, methodologies, and use cases of machine learning Build ML applications for analytics, NLP and computer vision domains Solve the most common problems in building machine learning models Book Description Machine learning (ML) helps you find hidden insights from your data without the need for explicit programming. This book is your key to solving any kind of ML problem you might come across in your job. You’ll encounter a set of simple to complex problems while building ML models, and you'll not only resolve these problems, but you’ll also learn how to build projects based on each problem, with a practical approach and easy-to-follow examples. The book includes a wide range of applications: from analytics and NLP, to computer vision domains. Some of the applications you will be working on include stock price prediction, a recommendation engine, building a chat-bot, a facial expression recognition system, and many more. The problem examples we cover include identifying the right algorithm for your dataset and use cases, creating and labeling datasets, getting enough clean data to carry out processing, identifying outliers, overftting datasets, hyperparameter tuning, and more. Here, you'll also learn to make more timely and accurate predictions. In addition, you'll deal with more advanced use cases, such as building a gaming bot, building an extractive summarization tool for medical documents, and you'll also tackle the problems faced while building an ML model. By the end of this book, you'll be able to fine-tune your models as per your needs to deliver maximum productivity. What you will learn Select the right algorithm to derive the best solution in ML domains Perform predictive analysis effciently using ML algorithms Predict stock prices using the stock index value Perform customer analytics for an e-commerce platform Build recommendation engines for various domains Build NLP applications for the health domain Build language generation applications using different NLP techniques Build computer vision applications such as facial emotion recognition Who this book is for This book is for the intermediate users such as machine learning engineers, data engineers, data scientists, and more, who want to solve simple to complex machine learning problems in their day-to-day work and build powerful and efficient machine learning models. A basic understanding of the machine learning concepts and some experience with Python programming is all you need to get started with this book.

Stock market trends are of great interest to investors and corporations worldwide. The global financial system is intricately interconnected with the stock market, playing a central role in driving economic activity. In today's interconnected world, trading stocks has become a popular and accessible means for individuals and entities to generate income. Numerous academic researchers have explored the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) for stock prediction and have claimed that their models can accurately forecast stock performance. The issue is that many of these studies rely on a single data source, namely, daily stock data and cannot predict future stock prices, more than 1 or 2 days, with a large degree of success. Additionally, the single data source may be influenced by a multitude of economic factors as well as public sentiment, which is the most significant. In this research paper, several of these AI models are tested to evaluate their claims regarding stock prediction capabilities. Based on our experiments utilizing AI models and the results gathered, it was concluded that it was not possible to predict future stock prices using one method alone. Therefore, in order to provide a greater accuracy in predicting future stocks, the use of an ensemble approach was proposed. While many researchers build their ensemble models by combining various Artificial Neural Network models with sentiment analysis. We have suggested a different approach using other kinds of AI models, along with enhancements to traditional sentiment analysis techniques.

This book is about the various techniques involved in the stock price prediction. Even the people who are new to this book, after completion they can do stock trading individually with more profit.

This book features a selection of articles from The 2019 International Conference on Information Technology & Systems (ICITS’19), held at the Universidad de Las Fuerzas Armadas, in Quito, Ecuador, on 6th to 8th February 2019. ICIST is a global forum for researchers and practitioners to present and discuss recent findings and innovations, current trends, professional experiences and challenges of modern information technology and systems research, together with their technological development and applications. The main topics covered are: information and knowledge management; organizational models and information systems; software and systems modeling; software systems, architectures, applications and tools; multimedia systems and applications; computer networks, mobility and pervasive systems; intelligent and decision support systems; big data analytics and applications; human–computer interaction; ethics, computers & security; health informatics; information technologies in education; cybersecurity and cyber-defense; electromagnetics, sensors and antennas for security.

Project Report from the year 2018 in the subject Computer Science - Technical Computer Science, , course: Computer Science, language: English, abstract: Modeling and Forecasting of the financial market have been an attractive topic to scholars and researchers from various academic fields. The financial market is an abstract concept where financial commodities such as stocks, bonds, and precious metals transactions happen between buyers and sellers. In the present scenario of the financial market world, especially in the stock market, forecasting the trend or the price of stocks using machine learning techniques and artificial neural networks are the most attractive issue to be investigated. As Giles explained, financial forecasting is an instance of signal processing problem which is difficult because of high noise, small sample size, non-stationary, and non-linearity. The noisy characteristics mean the incomplete information gap between past stock trading price and volume with a future price. The stock market is sensitive with the political and macroeconomic environment. However, these two kinds of information are too complex and unstable to gather. The above information that cannot be included in features are considered as noise. The sample size of financial data is determined by real-world transaction records. On one hand, a larger sample size refers a longer period of transaction records; on the other hand, large sample size increases the uncertainty of financial environment during the 2 sample period. In this project, we use stock data instead of daily data in order to reduce the probability of uncertain noise, and relatively increase the sample size within a certain period of time. By non-stationarity, one means that the distribution of stock data is various during time changing. Non-linearity implies that feature correlation of different individual stocks is various. Efficient Market Hypothesis was developed by Burton G. Malkiel in 1991.