The Economics Of Oil

This book examines the ways that oil economics will impact the rapidly changing global economy, and the oil industry itself, over the coming decades. The predictions of peak oil were both right and wrong. Oil production has been constrained in relation to demand for the past decade, with a resulting four-fold increase in the oil price slowing the entire global economy. High oil prices have encouraged a small increase in oil production, and mostly from the short-lived “fracking revolution,” but enough to be able to claim that “peak oil” was a false prophecy. The high oil price has also engendered massive exploration investments, but remaining hydrocarbon stocks generally offer poor returns in energy (the energy return on investment or EROI) and financial terms, and no longer replace the reserves being produced. As a result, the economically powerful oil companies are under great pressure, both financially and politically, as oil remains the backbone of the global economy./div”Development scenarios and political pressure for growth as a means of solving economic woes both require more net energy, which is the amount of energy available after energy (and thus financial) inputs required for new sources to come on line are deducted. In today’s economy, more energy usually means more oil. Although a barrel of oil from any source may look the same, “tight oil” and oil from tar sands require much higher prices to be profitable for the producer; these expensive sources have very different economic implications from the conventional oil supplies that underpinned economic growth for most of the 20th century. The role of oil in the global economy is not easily changed. Since currently installed infrastructure assumes oil, a change implies more than just substitution of an energy source. The speed with which such basic structural changes can be made is also constrained, and ultimately themselves dependent on fossil fuel inputs. It remains unclear how this scenario will evolve, and that uncertainty adds additional economic pressure to the investment decisions that must be made. “Drill baby drill” and new pipeline projects may be attractive politically, but projections of economic and associated oil production growth based on past performance are clearly untenable.

In 20th century society, oil has played a fundamental role not only from the economic point of view, but also from the point of view of the political relationships established between major Western countries and oil-producing countries. A survey into oil history, its market dynamics and price evolution, is essential for a deeper understanding of modern industry and world economy, as world development depends on oil supplies, prices, and its political accessibility. Oil Economics and Policy follows the historical development of the oil industry, and inevitably also covers many aspects of energy resource economy. In so doing, it pays particular attention to one aspect, namely, the fixing of oil prices. This is mainly in order to attempt to understand whether, and by how much, the structural transformations that the oil industry has undergone during the various phases of its existence - and the various market structures deriving from them - have influenced the dynamics of oil prices. Alberto Clô is Professor of Industrial Economics at the University of Bologna. Minister of Industry and Trade during Lamberto Dini's government (January 1995-May 1996), he has been a member both of national and international scientific boards and of ministerial committees. He is author of numerous writings on industrial and energy economies and editor-in-chief of the journal Energia.

This book brings together his work, written over the past thirty years, on mineral depletion and the nature of monopoly in world oil.

This book is a valuable tool in understanding the dynamics of the oil industry from both a broad and specific economic perspective. It contains insights into the underlying features and mechanisms of the oil industry and its many branches, as well as a special emphasis on relevant international problems. It also provides a wealth of statistical information and should be of interest to all concerned with energy matters” (Euroil). “Petroleum Economics, by Jean Masseron, is a fine introductory text to the entire scope of activities and economic conditions facing the world-wide petroleum industry” (AAPG Bulletin). “This book, already used by many organizations, should be especially useful for engineers, economists and managers concerned with energy matters, and also those who, beyond the technical aspects, wish to acquire and in-depth understanding of the economic mechanisms in a vital sector for world development today” (JCPT). Contents : Introduction: Principal economic characteristics. I. Crude oil supply and demand. 1. The crude oil market. 2. Technical cost of exploration and production. 3. Tax and legal aspects. II. The economics of crude oil transportation. 1. Transportation by tanker. 2. Crude oil pipelining. III. Finished products supply: refining. 1. The search for optimal economic conditions. 2. Present unit location and cost of refinery processing. 3. Legal organization. IV. Demand and marketing of petroleum products. 1. The petroleum products in the principal consuming countries. 2. The distribution of petroleum products. 3. The marketing of petroleum products. V. Petrochemicals. 1. General characteristics. 2. Economics of two large basic units. 3. The market for the principal finished products. 4. Problems of today. VI. Natural gas. 1. Natural gas supply in the world. 2. Transportation. 3, International markets and prices. Conclusion: Energy and petroleum problems of the future. Bibliography.

While oil price fluctuations in the past can be explained by pure supply factors, this book argues that it is monetary policy that plays a significant role in setting global oil prices. It is a key factor often neglected in much of the earlier literature on the determinants of asset prices, including oil prices. However, this book presents a framework for modeling oil prices while incorporating monetary policy. It also provides a complete theoretical basis of the determinants of crude oil prices and the transmission channels of oil shocks to the economy. Moreover, using several up-to-date surveys and examples from the real world, this book gives insight into the empirical side of energy economics. The empirical studies offer explanations for the impact of monetary policy on crude oil prices in different periods including during the subprime mortgage crisis of 2008–2009, the impact of oil price variations on developed and emerging economies, the effectiveness of monetary policy in the Japanese economy incorporating energy prices, and the macroeconomic impacts of oil price movements in trade-linked cases. This must-know information on energy economics is presented in a reader-friendly format without being overloaded with excessive and complicated calculations. enUsed="false" QFormat="true" Name="Subtle Emphasis"/>