Stock Recommendations From Stochastic Discounted Cash Flows

This paper presents two stocks recommendation systems based on a stochastic characterization of firm present value that extends the conventional discounted cash flow analysis. In the Single-Stock Quantile recommendation system, the market price of a company's stocks is compared with the estimated distribution of the company fair value to obtain an individual measure of mispricing, while in the Cross-Sectional Quantile system, a relative measure of mispricing is built using the fair value distribution of all firms at the same time. Both systems use mispricing information to build sell side and buy side portfolios. We provide a series of statistical exercises that show how these portfolios can consistently deliver significant excess returns, also when rebalancing costs are accounted for.

This open access book discusses firm valuation, which is of interest to economists, particularly those working in finance. Firm valuation comes down to the calculation of the discounted cash flow, often only referred to by its abbreviation, DCF. There are, however, different coexistent versions, which seem to compete against each other, such as entity approaches and equity approaches. Acronyms are often used, such as APV (adjusted present value) or WACC (weighted average cost of capital), two concepts classified as entity approaches. This book explains why there are several procedures and whether they lead to the same result. It also examines the economic differences between the methods and indicates the various purposes they serve. Further it describes the limits of the procedures and the situations they are best applied to. The problems this book addresses are relevant to theoreticians and practitioners alike.

Learn how to spot undervalued stocks with the Discounted Cash Flow Valuation formula! Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) is a valuation metric used by investors to gauge the attractiveness of an investment opportunity. Most people accept that money loses value overtime, which is a particularly important consideration for value investors who buy and hold, long-term investors: it's a fact that next year's $100 will be worth less than this year's $100. The value investor will apply DCF analysis to projected cash flows (perhaps over 5 years or more) to arrive at the net current worth of those projected cash flows.

Provides a treatment of academic and practitioner approaches to equity security valuation. This book challenges conventional academic wisdom surrounding the ergodic properties of stochastic processes, guided by historical and philosophical insights. It presents the implications of a general stochastic interpretation of equity security valuation.

A must-read book for investors who prefer to pick stocks based on cash flow facts, not on media hype and fiction How to Pick a Stock is written for the contrarian investor who wants an investing method that is based on cash flow facts, not on media hype and speculative impulse. This book combines an accessible presentation of a contrarian investment model and the ValuFocus tool that offers a highly studious, detailed explanation of understanding a company's true intrinsic value. If you can calculate a company's intrinsic value on the basis of knowing if the market is currently under, fairly, or over pricing its stock, then it is possible to invest wisely in the stock market. Investors who want to buy undervalued stocks, or sell (short) overvalued ones will find this book immensely useful. The ValuFocus investing tool calculates the intrinsic value of every company in their database automatically. Thus, an individual investor can become an "A" student of a modeling process, or can go right ahead in using this tool to pick stocks and manage their own portfolio. Additionally, this book helps to develop an enhanced framework to fundamental equity valuation. Contains the ValuFocus tool for calculating the intrinsic value of every company in the LCRT Nucleus database Offers specific and innovative valuation techniques of practicing professionals for individuals to use in picking stocks long-term Highlights the most state-of-the-art approaches to unconventional stock-picking for investors and corporate finance professionals Offering encouragement to individual investors by outlining a model that delivers satisfying returns, How to Pick a Stock is especially useful for those who are patient and believe in longer-term investing horizons.

An essential reference dedicated to a wide array of financial models, issues in financial modeling, and mathematical and statistical tools for financial modeling The need for serious coverage of financial modeling has never been greater, especially with the size, diversity, and efficiency of modern capital markets. With this in mind, the Encyclopedia of Financial Models, 3 Volume Set has been created to help a broad spectrum of individuals—ranging from finance professionals to academics and students—understand financial modeling and make use of the various models currently available. Incorporating timely research and in-depth analysis, the Encyclopedia of Financial Models is an informative 3-Volume Set that covers both established and cutting-edge models and discusses their real-world applications. Edited by Frank Fabozzi, this set includes contributions from global financial experts as well as academics with extensive consulting experience in this field. Organized alphabetically by category, this reliable resource consists of three separate volumes and 127 entries—touching on everything from asset pricing and bond valuation models to trading cost models and volatility—and provides readers with a balanced understanding of today's dynamic world of financial modeling. Frank Fabozzi follows up his successful Handbook of Finance with another major reference work, The Encyclopedia of Financial Models Covers the two major topical areas: asset valuation for cash and derivative instruments, and portfolio modeling Fabozzi explores the critical background tools from mathematics, probability theory, statistics, and operations research needed to understand these complex models Organized alphabetically by category, this book gives readers easy and quick access to specific topics sorted by an applicable category among them Asset Allocation, Credit Risk Modeling, Statistical Tools 3 Volumes onlinelibrary.wiley.com Financial models have become increasingly commonplace, as well as complex. They are essential in a wide range of financial endeavors, and this 3-Volume Set will help put them in perspective.

This book gives a scientific and systematic approach to trading in developing stock markets. As professional traders do not trade purely on the basis of economic fundamentals, but also take into account market movements from other factors, knowledge of technical analysis is important to anyone who would participate successfully in the stock market.